Premier League Picks: Everton's Soaring Start | West Ham to Ruin Luton's Celebrations | Astonishing Upset Predicted for Brighton vs Newcastle

Fresh from a frenzy of winners, our tipster Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League card and makes a case to back West Ham fouls vs Luton.

Luton vs West Ham, Friday Night Football 8pm, live on Sky Sports

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Luton Town vs West Ham United, live on Sky

Kenilworth Road will be at the center of attention as it hosts Premier League football for the first time after undergoing a £10m renovation. There is a commonly held belief that Luton's performance at their old-fashioned stadium will determine their success this season, but I am not so certain. Luton had the sixth-best home record in the Championship last season, winning only 10 out of 23 matches. While they possess a strong defense and mentality that can frustrate teams both at home and away, this does not appear to be the ideal time to face a resurgent West Ham side, who displayed quality, confidence, and enthusiasm in their attacking play against Brighton.

Considering the odds of 100/30 for a West Ham victory and under 3.5 goals, it seems likely that the away team will achieve a low-scoring win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: West Ham to make 10 or more fouls (10/11 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

My instincts for punting have lured me towards the West Ham player fouls market. This is especially true considering the possibility of an escalation in numbers due to the foul-drawing capabilities of Luton duo Tahith Chong and Ross Barkley in the midfield. In the previous match, Barkley, who is known for his elusiveness, won three fouls while the even more elusive Chong won four. Overall, Luton managed to draw 14 fouls in the game, and I anticipate a similar outcome here. Therefore, I believe that West Ham, with odds of 10/11 from Sky Bet, will accumulate 10 or more fouls in what promises to be a hostile and lively atmosphere under the floodlights.

Sheffield United vs Everton, Saturday 12.30pm

Everton's fortunes are bound to improve.

To be fair, they can hardly deteriorate any further. With no goals and no points to their name, they barely scraped through against Doncaster in midweek, adding to the mounting pressure on Sean Dyche. Nevertheless, there is a glimmer of hope.

The away win looks promising for Burnley with their new centre-forward fitting perfectly into Dyche's team. Despite underperforming in attack, their chance creation process seems strong, indicating that goals will come soon. Therefore, they are a good bet at 6/4 with Sky Bet. In contrast, Sheffield United is still seen as the top contender to finish at the bottom.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Everton to win (6/4 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Despite their lackluster performance midweek, where they managed to create only 0.42 expected goals in an uninspiring attacking display during their 0-0 home draw against League One Lincoln, resulting in a loss on penalties, Bramall Lane possesses the ability to intimidate and overpower opposing teams due to the passionate atmosphere it generates. However, the dynamics of the stadium can work both ways, and it is possible that this upcoming match could witness a reversal of support from the home fans, considering the perceived winnable nature of this fixture.

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Brentford vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm

However, Bournemouth boss Andoni Iraola is facing challenges with the swift playing style implemented by Ange Postecoglou and Mauricio Pochettino. Last weekend, they were easily defeated by Tottenham, unable to exploit the vulnerabilities in Spurs' defense. It was evident that they lacked confidence and appeared hesitant on the field. While it is too early to draw any definitive conclusions about the manager, I will closely observe their progress in the coming month for potential improvement.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Burnley vs Tottenham, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Vincent Kompany is known for his insightful thoughts, and it would be wise to pay attention to his words. He cautioned that Burnley's true potential may not be realized until his players establish the required chemistry in the Premier League to achieve favorable outcomes. Despite their impressive performance, accumulating 101 points during their victorious Championship campaign, Kompany's team exhibited a similar trend last season, winning only one out of their first five league matches. Therefore, I will keep a close eye on them before forming a definitive opinion on their position in the table for this season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Therefore,

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

keeping an eye on Enzo Fernandez's performance in different markets in the upcoming months is recommended.

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The Argentine is growing in influence, assuming responsibility for free-kicks, corners, penalties, while also operating in a more advanced position on the field under the guidance of the new manager in a role that suits him perfectly. When Mauricio Pochettino required a burst of energy from the substitutes' bench during the AFC Wimbledon match in the middle of the week, Fernandez was summoned and he seized the opportunity by scoring his maiden goal for Chelsea.

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Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez celebrates his first goal for the club - he is 11/1 to score first

Since his £107m transfer from Benfica in January, no player in the Premier League has had more touches or successful passes. Under Pochettino this season, he has brought more dynamism to the attacking third and has been given the freedom to advance forward. This is evident in the high number of passes he has made in the final third, which is the highest among all players. Although he has yet to score or assist in the Premier League, he demonstrated composure and skill in his recent goal. In his three games, he has taken seven shots and is expected to score 1.25 goals. While a significant portion of this expected goal tally comes from a missed penalty against West Ham, a player with his ability, strong attacking statistics, and responsibility for free-kicks and penalties should not be as undervalued as 11/1 odds with Sky Bet to score first at home against Nottingham Forest.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Enzo Fernandez to score first (11/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Title Race Hopes Squashed

Manchester City vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Unfortunately, the excitement of the title race was short-lived. Just 270 seconds after Jayden Bogle's goal for Sheffield United against Manchester City, the chasing pack's hopes were dashed.

Nevertheless, this City squad proves to be an unstoppable force. They display an incredible combination of aggression and precision, maintaining their style and finesse even while in possession. In fact, this might just be the most remarkable Pep Guardiola team we have ever witnessed.

There appears to be no clear hierarchy among Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Newcastle, Tottenham, Chelsea, Brighton, and Aston Villa, making the competition for second to ninth place exciting this season. These teams will continuously challenge each other, potentially allowing City to establish a comfortable lead sooner than anticipated.

Those considering betting on City winning another title at odds of 4/9 with Sky Bet should consider doing so now. In a couple of months, the odds might be closer to 1/6. City is expected to have no difficulties in this match.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0

Brighton vs Newcastle, Saturday Night Football 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Brighton vs Newcastle, live on Sky

The burden of raised expectations accompanies unforeseen success, which is a price Eddie Howe is currently paying. As he embarks on a possibly difficult phase of his managerial career, he is confronting the aftermath of being outplayed by Jurgen Klopp during Newcastle's impressive defeat to Liverpool. The Toon showcased a one-dimensional approach, revealing their nerves and highlighting the urgent need to adapt to performing under the weight of expectation, as they are now recognized as legitimate contenders for a top-four position.

Brighton rarely offers favorable odds for a home victory, but I find the odds of 8/5 with Sky Bet appealing in this case.

Brighton's track record against Arsenal, Man City, Tottenham, Man Utd, Newcastle, Chelsea, and Liverpool in recent times is quite impressive. In their previous 20 matches against these opponents across various competitions, Brighton has emerged victorious in 11 of those encounters, with an aggregate score of 35-26.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Brighton to win (8/5 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Aston Villa have the potential to trouble a Newcastle defense that is not as strong as it may appear. Their defense has only managed to keep two clean sheets in their previous 21 Premier League games. Additionally, Nick Pope, who has lost his spot in the England team, has experienced a significant decline in his save ratio, dropping from 83 percent to 68 percent in the last 21 matches. As a result, it seems likely that Howe's team will face three consecutive defeats in the near future.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm

Aston Villa now has an opportunity to redeem themselves after a disappointing start to the season, which included a 5-1 loss to Newcastle. However, this defeat may be considered an anomaly in what promises to be an exhilarating season for Unai Emery and his squad.

Despite Liverpool's potentially season-changing victory at Newcastle, I still have doubts about their position as a top-four team. Their defense lacks conviction when the midfield is not secure. Aston Villa has the potential to cause problems at Anfield. While I was tempted to bet on the double chance at odds of 5/4 with Sky Bet, I found the total goals market more appealing due to the high goal expectancy for this match.

Aston Villa tends to adopt a cautious approach when playing away under Emery, choosing to sit deeper compared to their highly aggressive high line plays at home. As a result, they tend to absorb more pressure. In fact, in eleven out of their thirteen away matches, the total number of goals scored has been under 3.5. This includes the previous encounter with the same opposition, which ended in a 1-1 draw towards the end of last season. Given these statistics, the odds of 8/11 offered by Sky Bet for under 3.5 goals seem like a reliable starting point for a wager.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Aston Villa's Pragmatic Away Style under Emery

Crystal Palace vs Wolves, Super Sunday, 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Under 3.5 Goals Bet offers a Solid Opportunity

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Crystal Palace vs Wolves will be broadcast live on Sky. Despite buying numerous tickets, Eberechi Eze has not won a raffle this season. However, his time is approaching as he consistently showcases exceptional attacking abilities. With his quality in front of goal, a goal-scoring spree is imminent. Eze has already taken 16 shots this season, the highest number alongside Erling Haaland, although he is yet to find the back of the net unlike the Manchester City striker.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Eze's performance last season was outstanding as he emerged as Palace's leading scorer with an impressive tally of 10 goals in the Premier League. The arrival of Roy Hodgson as the manager seems to have further boosted his form, indicating that he might surpass his previous record this season. However, he needs to start performing soon to meet these expectations.

Arsenal vs Manchester United, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Regrettably, the current odds in the market reflect Eze's potential as a goalscorer, even though he hasn't found the back of the net yet. Sky Bet offers odds of 5/1 for him to score the first goal and 2/1 for him to score anytime, indicating that there isn't much value in these prices. Nevertheless, this could be an opportune moment to invest in him.

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The Arsenal vs Manchester United match will be broadcasted live on Sky. The argument for expecting numerous goals in this highly anticipated Super Sunday clash is a straightforward one. In their previous 21 Premier League matches played at home, Arsenal has maintained an impressive average goal output of 4.11. Out of these matches, 15 witnessed both teams scoring, and the over 2.5 goals line was surpassed. This trend holds true for both fixtures played this season.

We can support the likelihood of both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals at odds of 4/5 with Sky Bet, indicating a 55% probability.

Considering the statistical data and incorporating the strategic advantage that Marcus Rashford brings to Manchester United in terms of counter-attacks - as he contributed to four of United's five goals against Arsenal last season - I believe the probability should be closer to 65%. Therefore, we have an advantageous betting opportunity.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

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