Game Changers: Luton poised to shock Tottenham | Manchester City set to outclass Arsenal

Our tipster Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League action, unleashing his predictions and betting angles across an exciting weekend.

Luton vs Tottenham, Saturday 12.30

Tottenham are currently experiencing the positive effects of the Ange Postecoglou era. However, it is important to note that just like waves, their success may eventually come to an end.

It would be quite surprising if they are able to keep up with the likes of Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool throughout the season. Based on the early season indicators, it is more likely that Tottenham will be competing with Manchester United and Chelsea for their final position in the table. Nonetheless, considering the enjoyable style of football they play, I assume Spurs fans will be completely satisfied with this outcome.

Postecoglou's bold and high-risk style of football mirrors Brighton's approach. However, Tottenham has encountered a higher number of shots (92) and shots on target (34) compared to 10 other Premier League teams this season. This vulnerability in defense raises concerns about their status as 2/5 favorites with Sky Bet in this match.

Considering Luton's chances of drawing or winning, a double chance bet at 15/8 seems like a logical opportunity to exploit Tottenham's inflated odds. However, there are doubts surrounding the attacking quality of Luton. As a result, I have decided to focus on their corner lines for a more confident and promising betting option.

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The Luton players rejoice after their victory at Goodison Park.

To optimize their chances, Rob Edwards recognizes that his team must prioritize set pieces. They aim to swiftly advance the ball into the opposition's territory in order to generate opportunities for corner kicks or free kicks by maintaining a high tempo. When playing at home, Luton has consistently achieved a commendable corner count, averaging 7.4 corners per game at Kenilworth Road last season. This figure was surpassed only by West Brom in the Championship.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Luton to win five or more corners (5/4 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Their performance in the Premier League so far has not affected their ability to generate corner kicks, with a total of 26 corners won in their matches against Wolves, West Ham, and Burnley. Impressively, they have managed to win seven or more corners in each of these three games. As a result, the odds of 5/4 for them to win five or more corners seem quite appealing, especially when considering the possibilities of winning six or more corners (5/2) or even seven or more corners (9/2), which also offer good value.

Burnley vs Chelsea, Saturday 3pm

Chelsea's 2-0 triumph over Fulham showcased an array of commendable aspects, with particular emphasis on the seamless coordination, equilibrium, and assertiveness demonstrated by their midfield trio consisting of Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, and the outstanding Conor Gallagher. Without a doubt, their performance positions them as the Premier League's most formidable midfield triumvirate.

This combination furnishes the team with a splendid equilibrium between defensive and offensive prowess, as all three players possess versatile skill sets. While improvements are still needed in the attacking department, rendering Chelsea susceptible to consistently securing victories, their highly competent midfield and defense suggest that a single goal may be sufficient to clinch three crucial points against teams outside the esteemed top six or seven. Hence, Chelsea remains an exceptional choice for bettors favoring the under 2.5 goals line. Over the past five matches, this strategy has proven successful for punters, and with attractive odds of Evens available for yet another match, it stands as a profitable trend worth adhering to.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Everton vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm

Hands up. I may have got Bournemouth completely wrong.

Despite showing promise in their defeats at Brighton and Liverpool, the lackluster performance against Arsenal completely changed my outlook on their prospects. The team lacked chemistry and their confidence seems to be at rock bottom, as they haven't won a Premier League game in 11 matches before and after the summer break. With their fragility and a clear lack of understanding of Andoni Iraola's gameplan, Everton has a golden opportunity to end their terrible run at Goodison Park.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Everton to win & under 2.5 goals (4/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Fulham vs Sheffield United, Saturday 3pm

In a match involving two lackluster teams, there is potential for profit by focusing on the shots market.

When the pressure starts to increase on a manager in a big job, backing their next matches to become low scoring is a punting tactic worth utilising when the time is right. Luke Thomas, signed from Leicester, has shown a knack for making some aggressive forward runs into dangerous shooting positions from his left-wing back role for Sheffield United. He's had four shots in 292 minutes of action so his average from a very small sample size is over one shot per 90 minutes. The Blades will have to play with some attacking intent in what will be seen as a winnable fixture and Thomas is a 5/6 with Sky Bet to have at least one shot. That should give you a great run.

Manchester United vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

The time has arrived when the predicted number of goals in this fixture exceeds three. Consequently, we can secure odds of 6/5 from Sky Bet for less than 2.5 goals.

Erik ten Hag's primary objective is simply to secure a victory, similar to what transpired during Manchester United's visit to Burnley when they faced intense pressure.

They managed to secure a hard-fought 1-0 victory on that occasion, and this upcoming match against Brentford, who prioritize defensive play in away games, is likely to follow a similar pattern.

Manchester United is currently facing difficulties in front of the goal. Only Bournemouth (six percent) and Everton (five percent) have a lower shot conversion rate than Ten Hag's team. In fact, United has scored more than one goal in only one out of their seven Premier League matches this season. On the other hand, 11 out of Brentford's last 14 away matches have witnessed less than 2.5 goals, even against strong teams like Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Newcastle.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BEST: Back under 2.5 goals (6/5 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports

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Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest

The absence of Eberechi Eze, a remarkable player, will certainly be felt. Despite starting in every Premier League game under Roy Hodgson, Palace is concerned about his hamstring issue, which may make them vulnerable against a determined Forest side. Forest has only lost three out of their last 11 Premier League matches, with defeats coming from Arsenal, Manchester United, and Manchester City. Palace's record without Eze since last season lends credence to the belief that his absence will have an impact. In the eight matches where Eze did not start, Palace was unable to secure a victory, managing only five goals. Considering this, the odds of Forest on a 'draw no bet' at 11/8 with Sky Bet seem appealing.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Brighton vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports

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Brighton vs Liverpool

Get ready with your popcorn and get ready for some exciting box office action.

Those who regularly read my articles (shoutout to my mom) know that I usually support Brighton when they are considered underdogs. However, this time I must resist the temptation because Liverpool's attacking power is simply too impressive to overlook. The lack of cohesion and harmony in Brighton's midfield is causing major problems for them, resulting in them conceding a concerning number of clear scoring opportunities.

That's resulted in 14 goals being conceded in their seven Premier League matches and with a emotionally draining 2-2 draw in Marseille still fresh in their legs,

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-4 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BEST: Liverpool to win (11/10 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

I'm concerned for them against Jurgen Klopp's attack. They have scored in their last 20 games in all competitions and have scored at least three times in seven of their last 11 fixtures. The odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet on an away victory appear to be one of the most favorable bets of the weekend.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-4 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BEST: Liverpool to win (11/10 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Wolves vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm

You know what's going to happen: yes, Aston Villa facing offside lines. The Unai Emery offside trap continues to be a work of art, especially during away games. Chelsea were caught offside 10 times in their 1-0 defeat to Villa. That brings the total to 54 offsides against in their last 10 away games, with six of those matches resulting in the opposition being caught offside six or more times. Despite the bookmakers adjusting their prices, it remains a daunting strategy to exploit. You can wager at odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet on Wolves being caught offside four or more times, with the option of the highest line being six or more offsides at 4/1.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Pedro Neto has yet to be caught offside this season, demonstrating his exceptional timing and positioning. However, in the upcoming match against Villa, he will be strategically positioned right on the Villa line down the right side. Neto aims to replicate his previous outstanding performance against Manchester City, where he skillfully burst in behind the defense. It is worth noting that he is currently priced at 5/6 to be caught offside at least once and 4/1 to be flagged two or more times.

West Ham vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm

My initial concerns about Newcastle's ability to reach the same level as last season have been dispelled as the new season unfolds. The team has regained their sharpness, which was evident in their impressive victory over PSG, where they convincingly outplayed the French side. This newfound intensity has instilled greater confidence and solidity in their defensive structure, resulting in an impressive streak of five clean sheets in their last six games. With only a solitary goal conceded, Newcastle's defensive performance is flourishing once again.

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Fabian Schar of Newcastle United celebrates after scoring the fourth goal against PSG.

The upcoming trip to east London will be challenging, with both teams possibly experiencing fatigue from their European endeavors. Defensive tactics will likely dominate the game, and a single goal could decide the outcome. Therefore, it was unexpected to find odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet for under 2.5 goals.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Arsenal vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

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Arsenal vs Man City

It is incredibly rare to have the opportunity to bet against Manchester City in any competition. This is a testament to the high esteem Arsenal is held in - and for good reason. They have a strong and well-constructed team, with the necessary physicality in key areas to rival Pep Guardiola's side. However, the question remains: do they have the mental strength required to defy City's usual dominance against Arsenal? City has been victorious in the last 12 Premier League encounters between the two teams, and all performance metrics this season indicate that they are undeniably the best team in the league. My enthusiasm is slightly dampened by the absence of Rodri, which makes it a bit less enticing to bet on the 11/8 odds offered by Sky Bet. However, when evaluating the prices, it is clear that the most likely outcome is an away win.

Julian Alvarez's ability to score from long range is definitely deserving of attention, with odds of 12/1 at Sky Bet.

With Kevin De Bruyne's injury, Alvarez has taken on a significant amount of responsibility, particularly in dead ball situations. In total, he has taken 16 shots from outside the box this season, with nine on target. Notably, seven of these shots were direct free kicks. Impressively, out of his six total goals, two have been scored from outside the box, demonstrating his impressive accuracy from long distances. On average, Alvarez is scoring from a distance of 18.3 yards.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Julian Alvarez to score from outside the area (12/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)