Thrilling Showdowns Await: Manchester United's Gritty Victory at Burnley and Goal-fest in the North London Derby!

After tipping up the 0-0 between Chelsea and Bournemouth and finding Gustavo Hamer to score first at 22/1 last week, Jones Knows is back in the predictions chair.

Crystal Palace vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Swerving Crystal Palace at odds-on would be a wise move if Marc Guehi remains sidelined. The partnership between Guehi and Joachim Anderson is crucial, as supported by the numbers. In the 21/22 season, in the 16 games where either Guehi or Anderson was absent, Palace managed to win only twice. What's even more concerning is that they conceded 29 goals in those matches, averaging almost two goals per 90 minutes.

As a result, Fulham could exploit the gaps left in central areas and one player to keep an eye on is Carlos Vinicius, who is priced at 9/1 to open the scoring. In Fulham's victory over Luton, Vinicius made an immediate impact by scoring just three minutes after being subbed on. In his last six Premier League appearances, he has scored from four of his last eight shots. While he may not possess the same qualities as Aleksander Mitrovic, Vinicius consistently performs well when given the opportunity and has a clinical finishing ability that makes him a viable betting option in the right circumstances. He has the potential to score in an away win.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Luton vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm

When there is an opportunity to bet on the Premier League's most creative player assisting a goal against arguably the weakest team in the league and receiving odds of 11/4 from Sky Bet, it is advisable to take action.

Pedro Neto has been the standout player in the Premier League this season, leading in chances created (17), crosses (43), and assists (4). His remarkable work ethic has allowed him to bounce back from a series of debilitating injuries and regain his top form. One notable assist was his precise cross for Hee-Chan Hwang in the 3-1 defeat against Liverpool, where Neto undoubtedly shined as Wolves' most impressive player.

The left flank, where Neto operates, has been a weak spot for Luton, as they have conceded goals from left-wing crosses against Brighton, West Ham, and Fulham. With Neto's exceptional skills, his presence on this side of the field could make all the difference.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

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Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Despite Nottingham Forest's lackluster goal-scoring record away from home last season (only 11 goals), it may raise a few eyebrows to suggest that both teams will score against arguably the greatest team on the planet. However, consider the odds of 6/5 with Sky Bet, as Forest has been steadily improving under the guidance of Steve Cooper, adopting a more attacking mindset. Their recent form is impressive, having scored in all of their last 12 Premier League matches, including games against top teams like Arsenal and Chelsea, as well as away matches against Liverpool and Manchester United.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

In six out of their eight matches this season, Man City have been scored against, revealing a vulnerability to teams who possess speed and strength on the counter. This is precisely how Forest will approach the game, aiming to capitalize on this weakness. As a result, they are likely to score and secure a victory when playing at home.

Brentford vs Everton, Saturday Night Football, 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Brentford vs Everton will be broadcast live on We. Playing the draw appears to be the best option when facing a challenging fixture like this one. Despite some reservations about Everton under Sean Dyche, particularly their lack of direction and creativity in their loss against Arsenal, I have a more positive outlook now that they have a clear target in Beto. However, it is worth noting that Dyche's teams typically take some time to find their rhythm, as evident from his lack of Premier League wins in August or September since 2019, with only 4 draws and 10 losses in his last 14 attempts.

Brentford consistently receive less recognition from the market, particularly when playing at home. Many bettors will be attracted to the odds of 4/5 for a home victory offered by Sky Bet. Nevertheless, Everton managed to secure four points against Brentford in the previous season, indicating a lingering uncertainty regarding Thomas Frank's team's ability to defeat opponents when considered favorites.

It is highly likely that this match will produce a similar result as last season's 1-1 draw. In fact, 22 percent of Brentford's matches across all competitions since last season's commencement have concluded with that scoreline.

The 6/1 with Sky Bet for that same result definitely makes sense from a punting perspective.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Keeping the noise surrounding a certain side out of the equation is crucial when making smart betting decisions. Manchester United, despite their recent setbacks, have faced tough opponents in their last three games, resulting in losses and conceding 10 goals. However, it's important to consider the level of opposition in these defeats - Arsenal, Brighton, and Bayern Munich are formidable teams. Moreover, it's worth noting that narrow margins have influenced the outcome of these matches, with their overall performance level remaining similar to that of last season.

Burnley vs Manchester United, Saturday 8pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

It's difficult to dispute their favorable chances of winning at odds of 8/11 with Sky Bet when you take into account their remarkable track record away from home against teams in the bottom half of the table. In the previous season, they secured 25 points out of a possible 30 and only conceded a mere five goals in those 10 matches. It's worth noting that their solitary defeat occurred against West Ham, a team that later went on to win a European trophy, suggesting that their classification as a bottom-half side may be somewhat misleading. Erik ten Hag is a manager renowned for his ability to secure victories, even if they may not always be aesthetically pleasing, and his team will undoubtedly adopt that mindset for this upcoming encounter.

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Erik ten Hag needs a big result at Burnley on Saturday

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Man Utd to win & under 2.5 goals (4/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Out of the 10 matches played on away ground against the bottom 10 teams last season, 9 of them resulted in less than 2.5 goals. In fact, the average number of goals in those matches was only 1.6 per game. Consequently, the odds of under 2.5 goals being scored here, offered at 5/4 by Sky Bet, seem incredibly enticing. If you consider the possibility of a United victory as well, the odds increase to 4/1. This particular bet emerged victorious in 50% of United's games against the bottom 10 teams last season. Given that a 4/1 bet requires United to win either 1-0 or 2-0, it presents a significant opportunity for value.

Arsenal vs Tottenham, Super Sunday, 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Arsenal vs Spurs, live on We

Doctor, just hook this game straight into my veins please. This could be an adrenaline rush of an encounter full of goals, incidents, passion and drama.

I am inclined to focus on the Spurs attack when considering potential betting options. Specifically, I am intrigued by James Maddison and his odds related to shots on target. Maddison's performance under Ange Postecoglou has been exceptional, as he has consistently had more shots on target and created more chances per 90 minutes than Harry Kane did last season. It is important to note that we are working with a limited data set.

To elaborate, Maddison has recorded an impressive tally of 11 shots on target, second only to Erling Haaland's 16. Furthermore, Maddison has managed to take at least one shot on target in every Premier League match he has played for Spurs. Considering these statistics, the odds of 4/6 offered by Sky Bet for Maddison to have at least one more shot on target seem highly appealing. Additionally, considering a bet on Maddison registering two or more shots on target at odds of 7/2 is also worth considering.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-3 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: James Maddison to have two or more shots on target (7/2 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Brighton vs Bournemouth, Sunday 2pm

Brighton possesses an impressive football club led by the finest young manager in global football. However, it is worth noting that the markets are well aware of their excellence. Consequently, they are priced as short as 1/3 with Sky Bet to triumph in a home game of the Premier League.

I apologize for boasting, but I currently find myself in a rather advantageous position with odds of 8/1 for Brighton to secure a top-four finish. Nevertheless, I do harbor reservations regarding their ability to consistently deliver outstanding performances, particularly with the additional workload of the Europa League.

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Jones Knows is backing Brighton at odds of 8/1 to finish in the top four, but he has concerns about their performance on Sunday. Last season, there were instances where Roberto De Zerbi's team failed to capitalize on strong showings. For example, they suffered a 3-1 loss to Nottingham Forest after taking Manchester United to penalties in the FA Cup semi-final. Additionally, they endured a shocking 5-1 defeat at home to Everton following a 1-0 victory over United in the Premier League. Despite having a stronger squad this season and De Zerbi's astute team selection, I am inclined to bet against them after their debut in European competition. Therefore, I suggest considering the double chance option of Bournemouth, which offers odds of 9/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Chelsea vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm

Chelsea's record against top 10 teams in the Premier League has been dismal, with no wins in their last 22 encounters. They have suffered defeat in 12 of these matches, highlighting their struggles. Given their lack of confidence and the ongoing struggles of their attacking players to convert expected goals, it seems wise to avoid betting on them. Instead, placing faith in Aston Villa to deliver a positive outcome seems like a safer option, with Sky Bet offering odds of 17/20.

However, I am personally drawn towards the Chelsea offside lines rather than the outright markets. Despite discussing it extensively, if there is still an advantage to be had, it is worth backing repeatedly. Aston Villa's vulnerability to conceding offsides presents a sustainable approach to exploit their defensive weaknesses.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Liverpool vs West Ham, Sunday 2pm

In their most recent eight away games, Villa have managed to catch the opposition offside an impressive 42 times. Notably, in seven of these matches, the opposition has recorded at least three offsides against Villa's aggressive high line. This amounts to an average of 5.25 offsides per match. Furthermore, there is a 7/2 odds chance with Sky Bet that Chelsea will be caught offside five times or more in this upcoming game. For those who prefer shorter odds, backing Raheem Sterling, a dynamic runner who frequently poses a threat behind the defensive line, to be caught offside once or more can be done at 10/11.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Liverpool vs West Ham, Sunday 2pm

Since departing from Everton, David Moyes has taken charge of 39 away matches against the likes of Manchester United, Manchester City, Tottenham, Arsenal, Chelsea, or Liverpool. Astonishingly, Moyes has yet to secure a victory in a league game in any of these encounters, with only six of them resulting in draws.

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West Ham manager David Moyes has not been able to secure a victory against the 'big six' teams since his departure from Everton. Out of the 33 matches played, 17 were lost by a narrow one-goal margin. This indicates that when Moyes takes his team to face a 'big six' rival, there is a 43 percent likelihood of his team losing by just one goal. This observation aligns with Moyes' style of play, which often results in low-scoring matches where the opposing team struggles to break through. Such matches have already been witnessed this season, as Moyes' tactics have frustrated teams like Brighton, Chelsea, and Manchester City, while also presenting a significant counter-attacking threat.

Splitting stakes on a Liverpool 1-0 and 2-1 win with Sky Bet at 9/1 and 7/1 could be a profitable plan of attack.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Sheffield United vs Newcastle, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Sheffield United will go head to head with Newcastle in a live match on We. Despite being considered favorites at 4/9 by Sky Bet, Newcastle's lack of confidence and fluidity in the attacking third makes them vulnerable, particularly when facing a team like Sheffield United who have displayed stability and are performing cohesively.

In their last five matches, Eddie Howe's team has only managed to score an average of 0.88 non-penalty expected goals per game. This is a significant drop from their 38-game average of 1.89 per 90 minutes last season. Although this number is expected to improve as their fixture list becomes less challenging, I will require concrete evidence of their improvement before fully trusting them.

Given the anticipated difficulty of breaking down the Blades, it might be beneficial to bet on Newcastle winning the corner count. Last season, they were the best team in the Premier League at earning corners, with a total of 270, which was 32 more than any other team. This impressive figure is a result of their playing style that often leads to situations where corners can be won along the channels, an area where Howe likes to create numerical advantages. On average, they won 7.1 corners per match last season. Therefore, it was surprising to me that the odds were even for them to win seven or more corners in a game where they will likely dominate possession.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Newcastle to win seven or more corners (Evens with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

To frustrate their opponents, Sheffield United adopts a defensive strategy, focusing on absorbing pressure and defending deeply. Throughout this season, they have an average of 8.8 corners conceded per match. Notably, they allowed 12 corners against Manchester City and a staggering 15 corners against Tottenham. For those expecting similar numbers, Sky Bet offers odds of 14/1 on Newcastle winning 12 or more corners. This bet would have been successful during Newcastle's away matches against Palace, Everton, and Wolves last season. Alternatively, for a safer approach, those inclined can consider placing a bet on the "seven or more corners" line at Evens.

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