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In the early stages of life, parents closely monitor their children's growth by measuring their size and documenting the journey on growth charts.
But as children grow into young adults, measuring progress by physical growth is no longer the main focus. Other factors become important.
Netflix is working on convincing Wall Street that it has matured. By gaining more subscribers through cracking down on password sharing and offering cheaper plans supported by advertisers, the streaming service realizes that its rapid growth phase is slowing down. Now, it wants investors to shift their attention away from membership numbers and consider other important metrics.
Netflix shared with shareholders during its quarterly earnings report that in the past, membership growth was a key indicator of its potential when revenue and profit were low. However, with significant profit and free cash flow now being generated, memberships are just one part of its growth strategy. The company is also exploring new revenue streams such as advertising and additional member features.
As a result, Netflix announced that it will no longer disclose quarterly subscriber numbers starting in 2025. This decision marks the end of an era, as the metric that Wall Street has long used to evaluate the company will be retired. Netflix likened this change to the extinction of the woolly mammoth. Farewell!
The decision to stop sharing viewership data marks a significant shift in the world of streaming services. For a long time, Netflix has been known for its openness, but now it seems they want to keep things more private. As a leader in the industry, other companies may follow suit and also choose not to disclose this information.
It's important to understand Netflix's perspective on this change. As they focus more on revenue from advertising and other sources rather than just subscriptions, knowing how much time users spend on their platform becomes crucial. The more content users watch on Netflix, the more likely they are to remain loyal customers and generate more income for the company, especially in ad-supported plans.
Netflix emphasized that their main financial metrics are revenue and operating margin, with customer engagement (measured by time spent) being their best indicator of satisfaction.
However, a lack of transparency in an already opaque industry is not ideal. The streaming industry lacks detailed viewership data that Nielsen provides for traditional television broadcasters. This lack of visibility will only increase, as Netflix plans to only announce major subscriber milestones without defining what qualifies as a milestone.
Netflix had an impressive quarter, surpassing expectations and gaining 9.3 million new subscribers. This brings their total subscriber count to almost 270 million, a remarkable feat. The company also exceeded analyst predictions for both earnings and revenue.
However, the positive news was somewhat overshadowed by Netflix's forecast of slower subscriber growth in the upcoming quarter. They attributed this to "typical seasonality," causing the stock to drop by almost 5% in after-hours trading.
It's difficult to determine if the decrease in stock value is due to seasonal trends or if the company is reaching a plateau. It could be a combination of both factors. Despite the reason, the drop in stock value highlights why Netflix is urging investors to look beyond just subscriber numbers. In a year, investors will have to shift their focus.
Editor's P/S:
Netflix's decision to discontinue quarterly subscriber disclosures marks a significant shift in the streaming landscape. While it may be a strategic move to focus on revenue and engagement, it also raises concerns about transparency in an industry lacking comprehensive viewership data. The lack of visibility may make it challenging for investors and analysts to fully assess the company's performance.
However, Netflix's strong quarterly performance, surpassing expectations and adding millions of new subscribers, demonstrates the company's continued growth and resilience. While seasonal factors may impact subscriber growth in the short term, it remains to be seen whether Netflix can sustain its impressive trajectory and meet investor expectations in the absence of regular subscriber updates.