Several sources familiar with the intelligence indicate that the United States has obtained specific information that raises doubts about Iran's direct role in the planning, resourcing, or approval of the brutal attack on Israel by Hamas last Saturday. However, it should be noted that the intelligence community is currently unable to draw a definitive conclusion as they are actively searching for evidence of Iranian involvement in the attack, which took both Israel and the United States by surprise. Furthermore, since the attack occurred, government officials have consistently highlighted Iran's substantial support for Hamas, including the provision of weapons and financing, which would have aided them, albeit indirectly.
The nature of the intelligence remains undisclosed, but according to one source familiar with the matter, it is highly sensitive. However, the sources have indicated that this specific intelligence has influenced US analysts to lean towards an initial assessment that the Iranian government was not directly involved in the attack.
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Mahmoud Zayyat/AFP via Getty Images
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Capitol Hill lawmakers have been provided with information and briefed regarding the early doubt expressed by intelligence analysts regarding Iranian involvement. Despite condemning Tehran as being generally "complicit" in the attack due to its longstanding support for Hamas, senior US officials have publicly stated for several days that they have not observed any evidence of direct Iranian involvement.
"We seek to gain additional knowledge," national security advisor Jake Sullivan informed reporters at the White House on Tuesday. "However, at this moment, despite Iran's extensive involvement in supporting and equipping Hamas, we lack information regarding their specific involvement in the horrific attack on October 7th."
For years, Iran has served as Hamas' primary supporter, supplying them with millions of dollars, weapons, and smuggled components destined for Gaza. Additionally, Iran has provided wide-ranging technical and ideological assistance.
However, Hamas maintains a certain level of autonomy from the Iranian government. Former security officials and regional analysts confirm that Tehran does not have advisors present in the besieged Gaza Strip, and it does not have direct control over Hamas' operations.