Ivan Toney Transfer: Unleashing Brentford's Secret Weapon for an Unstoppable Season

Ivan Toney's comeback to training has generated curiosity about the striker's prospects as he prepares to return to football in January. Brentford will be keen on retaining their leading scorer in the Premier League, considering he is one of the most prolific finishers in the league. Nevertheless, if he were to be sold for a suitable sum, the impact on the club might not be as severe as initially anticipated.

Toney's exceptional scoring ability has been instrumental for Brentford since their promotion. With 32 Premier League goals, he has almost twice the number of goals compared to any other player. These goals make up a remarkable 28% of his club's overall tally, a percentage surpassed only by Harry Kane, who represents a consistently present club.

It is evident that Brentford heavily relies on Toney's goal-scoring prowess. Out of all the players since their promotion, only four have scored more goals than him. Furthermore, his shot conversion rate stands among the top in the division since the previous season. Among the league's most prolific scorers, only Kane, Erling Haaland, and Callum Wilson outperform Toney in this aspect.

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The departure of those objectives would create a significant gap for any potential successor. Nonetheless, playing for Brentford offers a distinct advantage with their exceptional service to their forwards. Although the club's average number of shots per game ranks 14th in the Premier League since the beginning of last season, their expected goals (xG) per shot sets the benchmark.

The average quality of chances created by Brentford surpasses that of any other club. In essence, this implies that converting those chances into goals is simpler for Brentford, making it an advantageous setting for strikers to flourish.

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The shot location is crucial in this aspect. With one exception, Brentford has the closest average shot distance to the goal among all Premier League teams. This factor contributes to their remarkable conversion rate and the above-average percentage of shots on target.

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This is also why Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa have shown increased effectiveness in their more advanced positions in the absence of Toney. Together, they have scored 15 out of Brentford's last 20 goals without Toney.

During the 11 games that Toney has missed since last season, Mbeumo's shot conversion rate has risen to 29%, compared to just 6% throughout the rest of his Premier League career. Similarly, Wissa has had seven significant opportunities in these 11 games, whereas he had only nine in his previous 63 games. Both players have thrived in Brentford's system, taking advantage of the favorable circumstances.

Brentford has already faced the challenge of playing without Toney. Surprisingly, they have performed better in his absence, managing to secure more points per game, score more frequently, and take more shots.

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Toney's potential impact on those games cannot be negated. However, it highlights the effectiveness of the existing process without him.

Toney has a track record of scoring in the Premier League and would demand a substantial transfer fee if sold. While Brentford aims to retain their influential player, they have managed to succeed in his absence. When the time comes for Toney to depart, the club possesses the necessary framework to bolster their squad and sustain their accomplishments.