Surprising EPL Upsets: Shocking Result for Manchester United, Newcastle Defense Shaken

Time to rejoice as the Premier League returns and tipster Jones Knows is in the chair to preview all 10 matches. He fancies Brighton at Manchester United.

Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm

I have a feeling that Liverpool might be the team to challenge Manchester City this season.

The market disagrees, with Arsenal being the favorites in the "without Man City" list at 11/8 odds, while Liverpool is at 13/8. But I'm confident enough to bet on Liverpool finishing above Arsenal at Evens odds. So anyone who wants to bet against me, please form an orderly queue.

The "purr" commonly associated with Jurgen Klopp's successful teams has made a comeback. This was evident in their dominant victory over an Aston Villa side that, although somewhat overrated, remained a threat before the international break.

When Klopp's team displays such flair and ruthlessness in the attacking third, they have the potential to score two or three goals in a matter of moments. Rediscovering this ability to quickly assert their dominance over opponents makes them a formidable team, capable of overwhelming their opposition at any given moment. It is highly likely that they will do so in this match, making the Liverpool -2 handicap a promising bet at odds of 11/4 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3

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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm

Testing a theory over the upcoming weekends: Aston Villa seems to be overestimated by the markets. Aston Villa was even priced as low as 4/1 by Sky Bet to defeat Liverpool at Anfield. Moreover, at the beginning of the season, they had the same odds as Brighton for a top-four finish. Isn't it a bit exaggerated? Aston Villa struggled to compete against Liverpool and suffered a heavy defeat against Newcastle as well, let's not forget about that.

Unai Emery has a track record of exceeding expectations in the early stages of a new job. This was evident during his time at Arsenal, where he achieved a 70 percent win ratio in his first 20 matches. However, his success declined to a 50 percent win rate in his final 58 games as manager.

Despite Aston Villa's recent success, winning their last eight Premier League games at Villa Park, I believe it is wise to consider Crystal Palace on the double chance option at odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet. Palace has only lost three out of their 14 Premier League games since Roy Hodgson returned as manager, and he has remained unbeaten in three encounters with Emery during his tenure at Arsenal.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Crystal Palace double chance (10/11 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Fulham vs Luton, Saturday 3pm

Supporting Luton's centre-backs in various attacking markets seems like a profitable approach considering the current odds. It is evident that the Hatters heavily rely on set-pieces, as demonstrated by last season when 32 percent of their expected goals originated from such situations. Their strategy revolves around gaining territory, playing a direct style, and posing threats through dead-ball scenarios.

Mads Andersen, who scored against West Ham, is an imposing presence and will be more actively involved in attacking moves this season, especially in a team that prioritizes set-pieces more than his previous club Barnsley. I anticipate a significant increase in his shots, touches in the opposition box, and goals. Therefore, taking advantage of the 6/5 odds offered by Sky Bet for him to register at least one shot or more appears to be an extremely valuable opportunity.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Impressive Record against Top-Four Chasing Rivals

Manchester United vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Brighton has established themselves as a formidable force when facing top-four chasing rivals, often defying the odds as the underdogs. The team led by Roberto De Zerbi has further solidified their reputation by convincingly defeating Newcastle in their previous encounter.

In their last 21 matches against esteemed opponents like Man City, Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea, Newcastle, Tottenham, and Arsenal, Brighton has emerged victorious in 12 of those fixtures, with an aggregate score of 38-27 in their favor. The enticing odds of 2/1 for an away win at Old Trafford, where Manchester United's weaknesses are evident across the field, make it a highly appealing prospect.

That is a good bet. This next one is a great bet.

The focus is on Lewis Dunk, the Brighton and England centre-back, who is expected to commit one or more fouls at Evens. Rasmus Hojlund, known for his aggressive and all-action playing style, is expected to cause chaos in the United attack. During his debut match against Arsenal, Hojlund displayed no signs of being overwhelmed and confidently engaged in physical duels with Gabriel.

In his last 12 matches for club and country, Hojlund has drawn a total of 19 fouls. Dunk will be tasked with the responsibility of dealing with him, although Dunk's track record suggests that he commits an average of only 0.40 fouls per game in his last 25 matches. This algorithmically determined odds make him the least likely among Brighton players to commit a foul, but I find this assessment to be inaccurate.

Furthermore, the odds for Dunk making two or more fouls at 5/1 are also greatly overvalued. This inconsistency in pricing should be taken advantage of.

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Lewis Dunk showcased his skills brilliantly while representing the England national team against Scotland.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Lewis Dunk to make a foul (Evens with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

However, the upcoming period under Ange Postecoglou seems promising and exciting. Even a team with certain constraints like Sheffield United can expect to receive opportunities from Tottenham.

Tottenham vs Sheffield United, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Spurs have faced a total of 19 shots on target in their matches against Burnley, Bournemouth, Manchester United, and Brentford. Despite the Blades' lackluster offensive performance, there is now some hope that this season won't be a complete failure, thanks to Gustavo Hamer's impressive performance playing alongside Oli McBurnie and Cameron Archer against Everton.

Hamer, in his three starts for Sheffield United, has managed to place four shots on target. His position allows him the freedom to join attacking plays, and this impressive average adds on to his previous performances with Coventry, where he recorded 20 shots on target in his last 15 starts. With all this evidence, the odds of 6/4 offered by Sky Bet for Hamer to have at least one shot on target in this match are quite appealing. Additionally, the odds of 22/1 for him to score the first goal are also worthy of some consideration.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1

West Ham vs Manchester City, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

When considering the outright market for this particular match, it is essential to assess where you believe West Ham will ultimately finish this season. If you perceive them as a team likely to end up in the bottom half, then taking advantage of the opportunity to bet on Manchester City at odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet to win and for there to be under 4.5 goals in the match would be wise. In the last 40 away matches against bottom 10 teams in the Premier League, City has emerged victorious and seen under 4.5 goals in 31 of those games, resulting in an impressive 77% win ratio.

When translated into odds, this percentage equates to 2/7, which is considerably shorter than the available odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet. This provides a favorable advantage for those who view West Ham's exceptional start to the season as an anomaly.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Newcastle vs Brentford, Saturday Night Football, 5.30m, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Newcastle United vs Brentford, live on We

What can we gain from this situation?

Simple enough. Support one of the most impressive strikers in Europe to score at St James' Park. Brentford has maintained an undefeated streak of nine Premier League matches since the beginning of last season without Ivan Toney (W5 D4), and Bryan Mbeumo has scored nine goals in those matches. In the same timeframe, he has been averaging a goal every 90 minutes when playing without Toney, as opposed to a goal every 826 minutes when they are on the field together.

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Brentford's Bryan Mbeumo is a 3/1 shot to score vs Newcastle

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Bryan Mbuemo to score (100/30 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Super Sunday, 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

I was therefore taken aback by the odds of 100/30 offered by Sky Bet for him to find the back of the net at any given time, while the 22/1 odds for him to score two or more goals are also worth taking into account.

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Bournemouth vs Chelsea, live on We

The goal expectancy looks too high in a game between two teams who have significant problems in attack.

Chelsea's impressive chance creation tally of 11 this season, the highest in the league, is evidence of their flowing football. However, their flaky finishers pose a persistent problem that cannot be overlooked, regardless of their strong overall chance creation metrics. As long as the frontline remains unchanged, I am confident that goal-scoring will continue to be an issue.

Since October 2022, Chelsea's Premier League matches have seen the fewest goals amongst all teams, excluding the three newly promoted ones, averaging 2.16 per 90 minutes. Additionally, they have scored more than one goal in just seven out of their last 33 games in all competitions.

The 2.5 goal line bet with Sky Bet on the game going under in the 5/4 is highly enticing, given Bournemouth's ongoing struggle to establish their identity under Andoni Iraola. Among all Premier League teams, only Sheffield United and Burnley have generated fewer significant opportunities than the Cherries this season, and none were created in their home matches against West Ham and Tottenham.

As of now, there have been 51 Premier League games played without a 0-0 draw. The opportunity to break this streak at 14/1 with Sky Bet is simply irresistible.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0 JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Under 3.5 goals (4/7 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Everton vs Arsenal, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Everton vs Arsenal, live on We

Backing Arsenal at 1/2 with Sky Bet earns bravery awards for supporters. The Goodison Park factor makes them vulnerable and creates a unique atmosphere for high-profile games. Considering Everton's odds of over 5/1 for a win, this factor is important in assessing the probability of the match outcome.

In the past 19 games played at Goodison Park on Sunday at 4.30pm or Monday night, Everton has been unbeaten in 17 of them. Out of those 19 matches, Everton emerged victorious in 11, even when considered underdogs against Manchester United in 2012, Chelsea in 2019, and Arsenal in 2021.

Taking into account the Goodison Park factor and Arsenal's recent poor performance at the stadium, where they have been unable to secure a win in their last five visits and lost four of those matches, it strengthens the argument for a pro-Everton strategy. I'm completely convinced that Everton will climb the league table in the upcoming weeks, especially now that they have a fit and agile center-forward like Beto, who was the standout player for the first 60 minutes in the 2-2 draw with Sheffield United. I predict a home victory.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, Monday Night Football, 8pm, live on Sky Sports

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Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, live on We

I am still trying to understand Burnley, which makes it difficult to predict their performance. Have they declined during the summer? Or is Vincent Kompany gradually developing his new team for the challenges of the Premier League? I cannot offer much help in predicting whether it will end in a home win, draw, or away win.

What is evident is that Taiwo Awoniyi is proving himself at Nottingham Forest. Developing players is Steve Cooper's specialty, which may eventually lead him to a top-six managerial position, or even the opportunity to coach the England team if he so desires.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

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Awoniyi continues his impressive form from last season, scoring in seven consecutive games. Surprisingly, he has even outperformed Erling Haaland in the Premier League since May, despite playing one game less. To simplify your betting decision in this unpredictable match, consider backing Awoniyi to be the first to score at odds of 4/1 with Sky Bet.