Our tipster Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League action, unleashing his predictions and betting angles across an exciting weekend.
Luton vs Tottenham, Saturday 12.30
Tottenham are surfing the exciting momentum that Ange Postecoglou has brought. However, it is important to acknowledge that just like waves, this success might eventually dwindle.It would astonish me if they manage to keep up with the likes of Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool throughout the season. Based on the early season metrics, their final position is likely to be in contention with Manchester United and Chelsea. Nevertheless, I believe Spurs fans will be content with this outcome, considering the entertaining style of play.
Because of his expansive and risk-reward style of football, Postecoglou allows the opposing team to have opportunities, similar to Brighton. This season, Spurs have faced more shots (92) and shots on target (34) than 10 other Premier League teams. It makes me uneasy that Spurs are considered 2/5 favorites with Sky Bet, considering they give their opponents such good scoring chances.
A smart move to exploit the overzealous Spurs price would be to bet on Luton for a double chance (draw or win) at 15/8. However, there are concerns about the quality of Luton's attackers. Therefore, my more confident best bet is to focus on Luton's corner lines.
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The Luton players rejoice in their victory at Goodison Park.
Rob Edwards understands that his team needs to focus on set pieces, by swiftly advancing the ball into the opposition's territory. This strategy aims to generate opportunities to earn corners along the wings or free kicks, achieved by maintaining a high tempo. Historically, when playing at home, Luton has excelled in earning corners, averaging 7.4 corners per game at Kenilworth Road last season. This impressive figure was surpassed in the Championship only by West Brom.
The team's transition to the Premier League has not yet had an impact on their performance, as evidenced by their success in winning 26 corners across their matches against Wolves, West Ham, and Burnley. In fact, they have managed to secure seven or more corners in all three games. As a result, the odds of 5/4 offered for them to win five or more corners appear to be quite enticing. Also worth considering are the odds of 5/2 for them to win six or more corners, and the odds of 9/2 for them to win seven or more corners, as these represent potential opportunities for value.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Luton to win five or more corners (5/4 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Burnley vs Chelsea, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Chelsea's 2-0 victory over Fulham showcased an impressive display from their midfield trio consisting of Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez, and the outstanding Conor Gallagher. Their fluidity, balance, and aggression were unparalleled, placing them amongst the best midfield three in the entire Premier League based on their performance.This formidable combination creates a perfect equilibrium between defense and attack, as all three players possess versatility in their skill sets. While the team still requires significant improvements in their attacking department, their midfield and defense operate at an exceptionally high level, allowing them to secure three points against teams outside of the top echelon with just a single goal. This fact highlights why betting on Chelsea to have under 2.5 goals remains a highly favorable option. Remarkably, in their last five matches, this bet has consistently proven successful for punters, and with the opportunity to place it at Evens once again, it is undoubtedly a profitable strategy to continue following.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Everton vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Hands up. I may have got Bournemouth completely wrong.Content has been
Despite showing promise in their defeats against Brighton and Liverpool, their recent match against Arsenal, where they allowed the Gunners to dominate without much effort, made me completely change my opinion on their chances.
The team lacks chemistry and their confidence seems to be at an all-time low, as they have not won a Premier League game in 11 attempts before and after the summer break. This vulnerability, coupled with a clear misunderstanding of Andoni Iraola's gameplan, presents Everton with a golden opportunity to end their terrible losing streak at Goodison Park.
When the price is right, Everton is a team I like to support under Sean Dyche. They dominated Luton for most of the last weekend's game, resulting in an expected goals tally of 2.90 from their 23 shots. Additionally, their recent away victories against Brentford and Aston Villa are still fresh in my memory.
Any victory will suffice for Dyche, so I anticipate a straightforward, low-scoring match, with Everton displaying better coordination and attacking expertise to secure a win. Betting on them to win in a game with under 2.5 goals, at odds of 4/1 with Sky Bet, is something I find appealing.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Everton to win & under 2.5 goals (4/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Fulham vs Sheffield United, Saturday 3pm
If you find yourself in a less exciting betting scenario involving two lackluster teams, considering the shots market could potentially lead to profitable outcomes.Sheffield United's Luke Thomas, who was recently acquired from Leicester, has demonstrated a tendency to make aggressive forward runs into dangerous shooting areas from his position as a left-wing back. Despite having only played 292 minutes, he has managed to take four shots, resulting in an average of over one shot per 90 minutes. As the Blades approach a match that is perceived as winnable, they will likely adopt an offensive approach, thereby offering Thomas an opportunity to contribute. With Sky Bet, Thomas is priced at 5/6 to have at least one shot on target. This could be a promising option to consider.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0
Punting Tactic:Manchester United vs Brentford, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
When faced with increasing pressure in a significant managerial role, one effective strategy is to place bets on the next matches yielding low scores. This strategy proves valuable in certain situations.The current circumstances make it an opportune moment to implement this tactic. The expected number of goals in the upcoming game is projected to be over three. Therefore, we can conveniently secure odds of 6/5 from Sky Bet by betting on under 2.5 goals.
Erik ten Hag just needs a victory, much like Manchester United did when the pressure intensified during their visit to Burnley. On that occasion, United managed to secure a gritty 1-0 win. This upcoming match against Brentford, a team that prioritizes defense when playing away, is likely to follow a similar pattern.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BEST: Back under 2.5 goals (6/5 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Ten Hag's men have been struggling to find the back of the net, with only Bournemouth (six per cent) and Everton (five per cent) having a lower shot conversion rate. Out of their seven Premier League games this season, United have only managed to score more than once in one match.Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
On the other hand, 11 out of Brentford's last 14 away matches have had under 2.5 goals, including games against Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, and Newcastle.Image:
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest
A player as special as Eberechi Eze is going to be missed.
Starting every Premier League game under Roy Hodgson, he has become a key player for Palace. However, his hamstring problem raises concerns about Palace being the favorites against a determined Forest team. Forest has only lost three of their last 11 Premier League matches, away at Arsenal, Manchester United, and Manchester City.
Considering Palace's record without Eze since last season, it adds weight to my theory that they struggle without him. In the eight matches where he didn't start, Palace failed to win and could only score five goals. The Forest 'draw no bet' option at 11/8 with Sky Bet seems like a generous offer.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Brighton vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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Brighton vs Liverpool
Get ready for some exciting box office action and don't forget the popcorn!
Those who regularly read my articles (shoutout to my mum) know that I usually support Brighton when they are considered underdogs. However, I must resist that temptation this time due to Liverpool's incredible attacking power. The deficiencies in Brighton's midfield, which affect their chemistry and balance, are causing them to concede an alarming number of high-quality scoring opportunities.
That's resulted in 14 goals being conceded in their seven Premier League matches and with a mentally draining 2-2 draw in Marseille still fresh in their legs, I'm concerned for them against Jurgen Klopp's offensive force, who have scored in their previous 20 matches in all competitions and at least three times in seven out of their last 11 fixtures. The odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet on an away victory appears to be one of the most favorable bets of the weekend.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-4 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BEST: Liverpool to win (11/10 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Wolves vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm
You already know what's going to happen: yes, Aston Villa will be facing opposition offside lines. The Unai Emery offside trap is undeniably impressive, particularly in away games. Chelsea fell into the offside trap a remarkable 10 times in their 1-0 loss to Villa. Astonishingly, Villa has faced 54 offsides in their last 10 away games, with six of those matches witnessing the opponents being caught offside six times or more. Despite the bookmakers adjusting their odds, this remains a daunting threat to exploit. You can take advantage of the odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet on Wolves being caught offside four or more times, with the highest line available at six or more offering odds of 4/1.SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
My early season concerns regarding Newcastle's inability to replicate last season's success have dissipated. They have regained their competitive edge, which was evident in their impressive victory over PSG, where they dominated their French opponents. This renewed sense of competitiveness has bolstered their confidence and defensive stability, leading them to keep five clean sheets in their last six matches, conceding only a single goal.West Ham vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm
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Fabian Schar from Newcastle United celebrates after scoring the team's fourth goal against PSG. The upcoming trip to east London could be challenging, with both teams possibly experiencing fatigue from their recent European matches. With strong defensive performances expected, a single goal could determine the outcome of the game. Therefore, it is surprising that the option of under 2.5 goals, at odds of 11/10 with Sky Bet, is available.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1
Arsenal vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
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Arsenal vs Man City
It is a rare occurrence for us to have the opportunity to support Manchester City at odds against in any competition, which speaks volumes about the high regard Arsenal is held in. And rightfully so, as Arsenal is a well-constructed team with the physicality in crucial areas to compete head-to-head with Pep Guardiola's men. However, the question remains whether they have the mental strength required to prevent City from doing what they typically do against Arsenal. City has emerged victorious in their last 12 Premier League encounters, and all performance indicators this season strongly indicate that they are the best team in the league. While the absence of Rodri does dampen my enthusiasm slightly, I am inclined to back City at the odds of 11/8 with Sky Bet. When considering the prices, an away victory seems to be the most likely outcome.
It is certainly worth mentioning that Julian Alvarez has a 12/1 odds of scoring from outside the box with Sky Bet. Ever since Kevin De Bruyne's injury, Alvarez has taken on a significant amount of responsibility, particularly in dead ball situations. Throughout the season, he has had a total of 16 shots from outside the box in all competitions, with nine on target and seven of those being direct free kicks. In fact, out of his six goals, two have been scored from outside the box, demonstrating his impressive accuracy from long range. The average distance from which he scores is 18.3 yards.