Premier League Showdown: West Ham crashes Luton's party | Everton set to soar | Newcastle faces uphill battle against Brighton

Fresh from a frenzy of winners, our tipster Jones Knows takes aim at the Premier League card and makes a case to back West Ham fouls vs Luton.

Luton vs West Ham, Friday Night Football 8pm, live on Sky Sports

Image:

Luton Town vs West Ham United, live on Sky

Kenilworth Road will be in the spotlight as 'the old girl' hosts Premier League football for the first time following her £10m renovation. There is a common assumption that Luton's performance at their nostalgic stadium will determine their season's success, but I am uncertain. Last season, Luton only had the sixth-best home record in the Championship, winning just 10 out of 23 matches. Although they possess a strong defensive strategy that can frustrate teams both at home and away, this may not be the ideal time to face a powerful West Ham side, who demonstrated exceptional quality, confidence, and enthusiasm in their victory against Brighton.

Considering the odds available, a West Ham win with under 3.5 goals appears to be the most likely outcome, offering 100/30.

My instincts for punting lead me to the West Ham player fouls market, where I anticipate an increase in numbers due to the fouls drawn by Luton duo Tahith Chong and Ross Barkley in the engine room. Barkley displayed his slippery skills at Chelsea last Friday, attracting three fouls, while the even more elusive Chong won four. In total, Luton drew 14 fouls in that match, and I predict that similar figures will be reached here. Consequently, I believe that West Ham will commit 10 or more fouls, making the odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet a good bet, especially in what promises to be a hostile and raucous atmosphere under the lights.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: West Ham to make 10 or more fouls (10/11 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Sheffield United vs Everton, Saturday 12.30pm

Everton's situation is bound to improve.

Admittedly, things couldn't have been much worse for them. With no goals, no points, and a narrow escape against Doncaster in the midweek, the growing concerns surrounding the club are already causing headaches for Sean Dyche. However, there is still a glimmer of hope.

The first sentence of the given content fragment could be rewritten as follows:

Their new center-forward appeared perfectly suited for a Dyche team during his brief appearance on Wednesday, and their attacking performance data shows a significant underperformance (4.69 expected goals excluding penalties) indicating that their chance creation process is effective and goals will come soon - making them strong contenders for an away win at odds of 6/4 with Sky Bet.

The second sentence can be rewritten as:

In my opinion, Sheffield United remains the clear favorite to finish in last place.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Everton to win (6/4 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Despite their lackluster performance midweek, where they managed to create only 0.42 expected goals and displayed a timid attacking style, resulting in a goalless draw with League One Lincoln that they eventually lost on penalties, Bramall Lane possesses the ability to intimidate visiting teams due to its fervent atmosphere. However, this upcoming match could witness a twist in favor of the opposition, as home fans might consider it a winnable fixture.

Image:

Brentford vs Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm

Bournemouth boss Andoni Iraola is facing challenges with the swift playing style implemented by Ange Postecoglou and Mauricio Pochettino. His team seemed uncomfortable during their match against Tottenham, where they failed to exploit the vulnerabilities in the opposing team's defense. The performance was rather lackluster, and it's premature to draw any definitive conclusions about the manager. However, I'll be closely monitoring their progress over the next month for any signs of improvement.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

As always, Brentford will be tactically astute and well-drilled, considering their impressive home record of losing just one of their last 17 matches. In order to match their physicality and defend their box properly, Bournemouth will have to step up their game, which has been lacking since their promotion. Therefore, a home win seems likely.

Burnley vs Tottenham, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Regarding the fragment content,

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

there are doubts about Spurs' consistency to sustain high levels over the course of a season, despite being well fancied in the market at 17/20 with Sky Bet for maximum points. The axis of Yves Bissouma and James Maddison for Spurs has shown moments of frightening devastating ability. However, it is challenging to make a case for either team at their win prices, resulting in a draw being the likely outcome.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

It is worth focusing on Enzo Fernandez as a player to watch across various markets in the upcoming months. (end of the rewritten content fragment)

The content has been

Under the guidance of the new manager, the Argentine footballer has emerged as a potent force on the field. He now takes charge of free-kicks, corners, and penalties, while also adopting a more attacking role. This position suits him perfectly. When AFC Wimbledon faced a formidable challenge in midweek, Mauricio Pochettino decided to bring in Fernandez from the bench. And it turned out to be a game-changing move as he scored his first goal for Chelsea.

Image:

Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez celebrates his first goal for the club - he is 11/1 to score first

Having made a £107m move from Benfica in January, no player in the Premier League has had more touches and successful passes than him. Under Pochettino this season, he has added more dynamism in the attacking third, as he now has the freedom to roam forward. This is evident in the number of passes he has made in the final third, which is the highest among all players this season.

While he may be disappointed with his lack of goals or assists in the Premier League so far, his recent composed finish proves that the goals will come. In his three games, he has taken seven shots, resulting in an expected goals tally of 1.25. It is worth noting that almost half of this expected goals value came from his missed penalty at West Ham. Considering his all-action style of play, strong attacking statistics, and his ability to take free kicks and penalties, it is surprising that he is priced at 11/1 with Sky Bet to score first at home against Nottingham Forest.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Enzo Fernandez to score first (11/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Title Race Dashed

Manchester City vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The fleeting glimmer of hope for the contenders in the title race faded away shortly after Jayden Bogle's equalizer for Sheffield United against Manchester City. This dominant City side exhibits an unstoppable blend of power and precision, showcasing their immense strength while gracefully maneuvering the ball. It appears that this incarnation of Pep Guardiola's team may be the most exceptional one yet.

There appears to be no clear dominance among Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester United, Newcastle, Tottenham, Chelsea, Brighton, and Aston Villa this season, making the race for second to ninth place highly thrilling. These teams will compete against each other on a weekly basis, which could potentially allow City to establish a comfortable lead earlier than anticipated.

For those considering betting on City to win another title, the current odds of 4/9 with Sky Bet may be worth considering. However, waiting for two months could see the odds increase to around 1/6. City should have no difficulties in this particular match.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-0

Brighton vs Newcastle, Saturday Night Football 5.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Image:

Brighton vs Newcastle, live on Sky

The unexpected success of Eddie Howe has led to heightened expectation levels, which he is currently grappling with. His management abilities were tested during Newcastle's defeat to Liverpool, where the limitations of his one-dimensional approach were exposed. The Toon's overall performance was fraught with nerves, highlighting the need for them to learn how to handle the pressure of being considered genuine contenders for a top-four position.

Brighton rarely have odds that make them a favorable choice for a home win, but I find the 8/5 odds with Sky Bet appealing in this case. Brighton's recent performance against top-tier teams such as Arsenal, Man City, Tottenham, Man Utd, Newcastle, Chelsea, and Liverpool is quite impressive. In their last 20 matches against these opponents in various competitions, Brighton emerged victorious in 11 of them, with a total score of 35-26 in their favor.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Brighton to win (8/5 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)

Aston Villa are poised to exploit the Newcastle defence, which lacks the resilience you might presume. In their previous 21 Premier League games, the Newcastle defence has only managed to keep two clean sheets. Additionally, Nick Pope, who has lost his place in the England team, has experienced a significant decline in his save ratio, dropping from 83 percent to 68 percent over the course of the last 21 matches. It appears that Howe's team is heading towards three consecutive defeats.

Liverpool vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm

The upcoming match serves as a second chance for Aston Villa to fulfill the high expectations they had prior to the season's start. These expectations were shattered by their disappointing 5-1 defeat to Newcastle on the opening day. However, this result is likely an anomaly, as Unai Emery and his team are on track for an exhilarating season.

Despite Liverpool's positive result at Newcastle, I still have doubts about their status as a top-four team. Their defense lacks conviction without a secure midfield structure. Aston Villa has the potential to make an impact at Anfield.

I was tempted to bet on the double chance at 5/4 with Sky Bet, but I found the total goals market more intriguing. The expected number of goals for this match seems too high.

Aston Villa tend to adopt a more cautious style of play when they are away under Emery. Unlike their aggressive high line strategy at home, they prefer to sit deeper and absorb more pressure on the road. As a result, the majority of their away matches, including this fixture that ended 1-1 last season, have seen fewer than 3.5 goals. This statistic makes the odds of 8/11 with Sky Bet for under 3.5 goals a promising choice for a wager.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Crystal Palace vs Wolves, Super Sunday, 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Image:

Crystal Palace vs Wolves will be broadcast live on Sky. Despite buying many tickets, Eberechi Eze has not won a raffle this season. However, if he continues to perform at the same level in terms of attacking metrics, it is only a matter of time before he starts scoring goals. Eze has already attempted 16 shots this season, which is the highest among all Premier League players, along with Erling Haaland. The only difference is that Eze is still waiting to find the back of the net, unlike the Manchester City striker.

Eze, Palace's leading scorer of the previous season with 10 goals in the Premier League, has shown promising form under the management of Roy Hodgson, indicating that he will surpass his previous record this season. However, he needs to kickstart his goalscoring spree. Regrettably, the markets concur with Eze's potential for finding the back of the net, despite his lack of goals so far. Sky Bet offers odds of 5/1 for Eze to score the opening goal and 2/1 for him to score at any time. These odds do not offer much value, but now may be the opportune moment to back him.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Arsenal vs Manchester United, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Image:

Arsenal vs Manchester United will be broadcasted live on Sky. The potential for goals in this highly anticipated Super Sunday match is undeniable. In the previous 21 home matches in the Premier League, Arsenal has had an impressive average of 4.11 goals per game. Furthermore, 15 of those matches witnessed both teams scoring and exceeded the over 2.5 goals line, including their encounters this season.

The angle of both teams scoring and over 2.5 can be confidently supported at odds of 4/5 with Sky Bet, indicating a 55% probability. However, taking into account the statistical data and considering Marcus Rashford's ability to trouble Arsenal on the counter-attack (as evidenced by his involvement in four of United's five goals against them last season), I believe the probability should be closer to 65%. This implies that there is a good opportunity for value in this bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1

Stream Premier League action on We with NOW for just £26 a month for 12 months. Cancel anytime.