Premier League Showdown: Brighton Set to Stun Manchester United, While Brentford Thrashes Newcastle's Fragile Defense

Time to rejoice as the Premier League returns and tipster Jones Knows is in the chair to preview all 10 matches. He fancies Brighton at Manchester United.

Wolves vs Liverpool, Saturday 12.30pm

I have a feeling that Liverpool may be the ones to challenge Manchester City this season. The market doesn't share this view, as they have Arsenal as the favorites in the "without Man City" outright list at odds of 11/8 with Sky Bet, while Liverpool is listed at 13/8. However, I would feel quite confident at this stage to make a bet with anyone at even odds for Liverpool to finish above Arsenal. Please form an orderly queue.

The purr that is typically associated with all of Jurgen Klopp's successful teams has made a comeback. This was evident in their dominant dismantling of Aston Villa, who may be overrated but still pose a threat, before the international break.

When Klopp's team exhibits such dazzling and merciless play in the attacking third, they have the ability to score two or three goals in the blink of an eye. Rediscovering this capability of swiftly taking control of games makes them a formidable opponent, capable of wreaking havoc at any given moment. It is possible that they will achieve this in the upcoming match, making the Liverpool -2 handicap at odds of 11/4 with Sky Bet an appealing option.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3

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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm

I will be conducting an experiment in the coming weekends to test a theory: Aston Villa is receiving more credit than they deserve from the betting markets.

For instance, they were offered odds as low as 4/1 by Sky Bet for a victory against Liverpool at Anfield. At the beginning of the season, their odds for finishing in the top four were the same as those for Brighton. It all seems a bit excessive, doesn't it? In reality, they were unable to consistently challenge Liverpool and suffered a heavy defeat against Newcastle as well.

Unai Emery has a track record of exceeding expectations in the initial stages of a new role. This was evident during his time at Arsenal, where he achieved a 70% win rate in his first 20 matches. However, his success declined to a 50% win rate in his final 58 games as manager.

Despite Aston Villa's impressive eight-game winning streak at Villa Park, I believe it is wise to consider the double chance option for Crystal Palace at odds of 10/11 with Sky Bet. Under Roy Hodgson's leadership, Palace have only lost three out of 14 Premier League games and he remains unbeaten in three encounters with Emery during the Spaniard's tenure at Arsenal.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Fulham vs Luton, Saturday 3pm

Supporting Luton centre-backs in different attacking categories appears to be a profitable strategy given the available prices. It is evident that the Hatters heavily rely on set-pieces, as demonstrated in the previous season where 32 percent of their expected goals originated from such situations. Their style of play focuses on gaining territory, employing direct tactics, and posing a threat through dead-ball scenarios.

Mads Andersen, who scored against West Ham, stands tall and will be more involved in attacking plays this season, particularly in a team that heavily emphasizes set-pieces compared to his former club, Barnsley. Anticipating an increase in his shot attempts, involvements in the opposition's penalty area, and goal contributions, I believe that taking the odds of 6/5 with Sky Bet on him registering at least one shot represents a significant value proposition.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Brighton's dominance against top-four chasing rivals is becoming almost automatic when they are priced as the underdogs. Roberto De Zerbi's impressive team further established their reputation by convincingly defeating Newcastle before the break.

In their previous 21 matches against formidable opponents such as Man City, Man Utd, Liverpool, Chelsea, Newcastle, Tottenham, and Arsenal, Brighton emerged victorious in 12 of those encounters, with an aggregate score of 38-27 in their favor. Considering Manchester United's vulnerabilities across the pitch, the odds of 2/1 for an away triumph at Old Trafford are highly enticing.

Manchester United vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

That is a good bet. This next one is a great bet.

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Brighton and England centre-back Lewis Dunk is expected to commit one or more fouls at Evens. Rasmus Hojlund's aggressive nature and all-action style will create chaos in United's attack. During his debut at Arsenal, the striker showed no signs of being intimidated, immediately engaging in physical battles against Gabriel. In his last 12 appearances for club and country, he has drawn 19 fouls. Dunk, who has averaged only 0.40 fouls per game in his last 25 matches, is assigned the task of dealing with him. The algorithm's price suggests that Dunk is the least likely among Brighton players to commit a foul, but this seems inaccurate. It is also significantly overpriced to bet on Dunk committing two or more fouls at 5/1. Take advantage of this incorrect pricing.

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SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Lewis Dunk displayed a remarkable performance while representing England against Scotland.

Tottenham vs Sheffield United, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

The era under Ange Postecoglou promises to be exciting. However, Tottenham remains susceptible to providing opportunities, even to a team like Sheffield United that has certain limitations.

Spurs have faced 19 shots on target in their matches against Burnley, Bournemouth, Manchester United, and Brentford. Although the Blades have struggled offensively, there is some hope now that this season won't be a complete failure with Gustavo Hamer impressing alongside Oli McBurnie and Cameron Archer against Everton.

Hamer has recorded four shots on target in his three starts for Sheffield United, as he is given the freedom to join attacks. This consistent performance follows his previous record with Coventry, where he had 20 shots on target in his last 15 starts. Considering this evidence, the odds of 6/4 with Sky Bet for him to have at least one shot on target here are very enticing. Additionally, the odds of 22/1 for him to score the first goal are also worth considering.

SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1

West Ham vs Manchester City, Saturday 3pm - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

To optimize your approach in the outright market for this match, consider where you believe West Ham will ultimately place this season. If you perceive them as a team that will finish in the lower half of the table, then it would be wise to seize the opportunity to bet on Manchester City to win, with under 4.5 goals in the match, available at odds of 10/11 from Sky Bet. Historical data reveals that in their previous 40 away matches against bottom 10 teams in the Premier League, City emerged victorious in 31 of those games, with under 4.5 goals being scored—a win ratio of 77 percent.

When converted into odds, this win ratio equates to 2/7, significantly shorter than the odds offered by Sky Bet at 10/11. This favorable discrepancy favors those who view West Ham's impressive start to the season as an anomaly.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1

Newcastle vs Brentford, Saturday Night Football, 5.30m, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Newcastle United vs Brentford, live on We

How can we capitalize on this situation?

Simple, isn't it? Support one of the most in-form strikers in Europe to find the back of the net at St James' Park. Brentford's record in the Premier League over the past nine games, dating back to last season, stands undefeated without Ivan Toney (W5 D4). Bryan Mbeumo has been instrumental in these matches, netting a total of nine goals. Notably, since the commencement of last season, Mbeumo averages a goal every 90 minutes when he plays without Toney, in stark contrast to scoring only once every 826 minutes when they are on the field together.

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Brentford's Bryan Mbeumo is a 3/1 shot to score vs Newcastle

I was, therefore, taken aback by the presence of odds at 3/1 with Sky Bet for his potential to score at any time, whereas the odds of 22/1 with Sky Bet for him to score two or more goals also deserve contemplation.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Bournemouth vs Chelsea, Super Sunday, 2pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Bournemouth vs Chelsea, live on We

The goal expectancy looks too high in a game between two teams who have significant problems in attack.

Chelsea's impressive tally of 11 big chances created this season - the highest among all teams - serves as evidence of their fluid football. However, their problem lies in their unreliable finishers. This issue is unlikely to resolve itself, regardless of the strong overall chance creation metrics. I have little confidence in their ability to score goals as long as the players in their frontline remain unchanged.

Since October 2022, Chelsea's Premier League matches have witnessed a total of 78 goals, the lowest among all teams excluding the three newly promoted ones. This averages out to 2.16 goals per 90 minutes. Furthermore, Chelsea have managed to score more than once in a game only on seven occasions out of their last 33 matches in all competitions.

The odds of 5/4 with Sky Bet for this match to have fewer than 2.5 goals are quite enticing, especially considering Bournemouth's ongoing struggle to establish their identity under Andoni Iraola. This season, only Sheffield United and Burnley have created fewer significant scoring opportunities than the Cherries, and none of those occurred in their two home games against West Ham and Tottenham.

As of now, there have been 51 Premier League matches played without a 0-0 draw. However, I cannot resist the 14/1 odds with Sky Bet for this streak to be broken.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-0

Everton vs Arsenal, Super Sunday, 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

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Everton vs Arsenal, live on We

Backing Arsenal at 1/2 with Sky Bet is a brave choice, considering the challenging atmosphere at Goodison Park. The unique ambiance during high-profile games at this historic ground should be taken into account when assessing the likelihood of a match outcome. This is particularly significant as Everton is trading at odds higher than 5/1 for a victory.

Everton has showcased a remarkable performance at Goodison Park in their recent 19 games, with the team remaining unbeaten in 17 of those matches played on Sunday at 4.30pm or Monday night. Out of these 19 games, Everton emerged victorious in 11, triumphing against strong opponents like Manchester United in 2012, Chelsea in 2019, and Arsenal in 2021.

Moreover, Arsenal's track record at Goodison Park adds to the compelling argument for an Everton victory. The Gunners have struggled in their last five visits to this venue, failing to secure a win and suffering four defeats. This combination of the Goodison Park factor and Arsenal's recent struggles provides even more support for favoring Everton. Personally, I am highly confident that Everton will make significant strides on the league table in the upcoming weeks, particularly with the addition of a fit and agile center-forward, Beto. Beto's outstanding performance during the initial 60 minutes of the 2-2 draw against Sheffield United clearly showcased his prowess. Therefore, I predict a home win for Everton.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, Monday Night Football, 8pm, live on Sky Sports

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Nottingham Forest vs Burnley, live on We

I'm still struggling to understand Burnley, which makes it difficult to make predictions. Have they declined during the summer? Or is Vincent Kompany slowly developing his new team to handle the challenges of the Premier League? I wouldn't be surprised by a win for either team or a draw, so I can't provide much assistance on that front.

What is evident is that Taiwo Awoniyi is truly blossoming at Nottingham Forest. Steve Cooper excels at developing players, and this is evident in Awoniyi's progress. Cooper's ability to enhance players could lead him to a top-six managerial position in the future or even the England national team role, if he desired.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Awoniyi has continued his impressive form from last season, finding the back of the net in seven consecutive games. Remarkably, since the beginning of May, the Forest striker has even surpassed Erling Haaland in terms of Premier League goals, despite playing one game less. In a challenging betting scenario, simplicity is key, so consider backing Awoniyi to score first at odds of 4/1 with Sky Bet.

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