How did we get on last weekend?
Jones Knows: A Weekend of Longshots to Attack"Winners continue to succeed, even in moments of defeat," expressed one of the characters as they sought to motivate young Zhi. In his pursuit, Zhi engages in a bet (as expected) with Vainglorious, the current champion of the rally car series.
This philosophy serves as a valuable guide when evaluating the quality of a bet, regardless of its ultimate result. Was the wager advantageous for you? How slim were the possibilities? Would you be willing to support it again at the same cost?
When analyzing my Newcastle bets last weekend, the thought occurred to me that we needed seven or more corners to win at Evens against Sheffield United. Surprisingly, despite their strong performance, Newcastle scored eight goals but only received six corners. As a result, our 13/2 treble was unsuccessful. However, we still had a reason to celebrate as Manchester United ensured an unattractive victory, allowing us to earn eight points of profit. This was achieved by placing a double stake on the 4/1 odds for a United win and under 2.5 goals.
After failing to land two shots on target against Arsenal, James Maddison was able to redeem himself by providing two assists. As a result, we ended the weekend with a profit of +6. Although we are still experiencing a loss in terms of the overall season profit and loss, our decision-making abilities have remained strong. Despite the setback, I believe that we are actually winning in some aspects, even if it may not be reflected in the overall results.
Image:
Bruno Fernandes' goal landed Jones Knows +8 worth of profit
Time to turn that into some actual winning, then.
P+L = -2
1pt on Bournemouth to win & under 2.5 goals vs Arsenal (12/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
I really like the unders and Bournemouth angle on Saturday at a big price.Despite his slow start in England, I would also highlight Andoni Iraola's impressive record against the top teams in Spain with Rayo Vallecano as a compelling argument. His defensive tactics effectively neutralize strong attacks, as demonstrated in the recent match against Brighton where their typically dominant offense was left confused. This performance has made me sit up and take notice, as it suggests that the manager is successfully implementing his strategies despite Bournemouth's lack of victories. In the 13 matches against Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid, Vallecano never lost by more than one goal in these notoriously low-scoring games, which averaged just 2.2 goals per 90 minutes.
Furthermore, 12 out of these 13 fixtures saw less than 3.5 goals, which is quite impressive considering the limited resources Iraola had compared to the top-tier teams. If his message is effectively getting through, Bournemouth possesses the necessary tools to make it a challenging afternoon for Arsenal. Given the odds, the 12/1 bet on Bournemouth to win with under 2.5 goals in the match is certainly worth considering.
1pt on Tomas Soucek to score a header vs Sheffield United (14/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Despite a decline in Tomas Soucek's powers from open play, David Moyes still considers him an automatic starter when he's fit. However, this reliance on Soucek may hinder West Ham United's performance this season. Moyes's faith in him is evident from the fact that Soucek has been included in the starting lineup for 121 games under his management, more than any other outfield player. Soucek's presence and threat from direct play have been the main factors behind this decision.Although Soucek has failed to score in his last 11 Premier League appearances, he has made 17 shots at goal, resulting in an expected goals value of 1.91. This indicates a promising return. Notably, nine of these attempts were headers, with one particularly impressive save by Alisson in the defeat at Anfield. Therefore, the odds provided by Sky Bet for him to score with a header seem quite favorable, especially against weaker opponents. Furthermore, Soucek found the net in the midweek game against Lincoln and in the 3-1 victory over Bačka Topolaso. Given his recent form and the added incentive of a boosted price for a header goal, I am confident in backing Soucek to score again.
1pt on Aaron Hickey to score first vs Nottingham Forest (50/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Image:
Nottingham Forest vs Brentford, live on We
Aaron Hickey continues to cement his place in the Brentford lineup, having started the previous 11 Premier League matches. Under the guidance of Thomas Frank, he is progressing in the manner one would expect. Moreover, Hickey's offensive contributions from his full-back position are on the rise. In the past five games alone, he has attempted seven shots on goal. Notably, he challenged Nick Pope with a strike from a difficult angle during the team's 1-0 loss against Newcastle. Although he has yet to score for the Bees, it is not far-fetched to anticipate a goal being just around the corner. This potential outcome appears particularly enticing with odds of 50/1, which should not be overlooked this weekend.