The elections on Tuesday generated a lot of noise, but one message was crystal clear: Abortion rights are widely supported in politics, regardless of location or timing. This undoubtedly bodes well for Democrats as they strategize for the upcoming 2024 elections.
Gov. Glenn Youngkin, the Virginia Republican who believed he could address one of the most persistent challenges in American politics by proposing "reasonable" abortion restrictions, will not be leading a GOP-controlled legislature in the Commonwealth. The party lost control of the state Senate, halting Youngkin's plans for a 15-week abortion ban and dispelling rumors of a potential 2024 presidential bid.
Meanwhile, Ohio voters clearly expressed their support for a constitutionally protected right to abortion by approving a ballot measure. This comes just a few months after rejecting another measure that would have made it more difficult to safeguard abortion rights.
In Kentucky, the Democratic governor emerged victorious over his Republican challenger, a state attorney general who had strong connections to former President Donald Trump and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Abortion played a central role in their campaign, becoming a contentious issue. Furthermore, the Democrats also secured control of the Virginia state Senate, marking a triumphant achievement. This series of favorable outcomes for the party injected renewed energy, particularly when contrasted with a discouraging week that included several polls, including a recent one from CNN, indicating that President Joe Biden may face significant challenges in a potential 2024 rematch against Trump.
Here are the key election night takeaways on a strong night for Democrats:
As Ohio goes, so goes the nation?
Tuesday's election results are unlikely to have a significant impact on Biden's prospects for the 2024 election, considering Ohio's recent voting patterns. However, it may be a different story for Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown, who is facing a challenging reelection campaign next year. The outcomes from Ohio could potentially give him a much-needed boost. In a state that has become increasingly conservative and has voted for Trump twice, the passage of a ballot measure enshrining abortion rights in the state constitution further solidifies the importance of this issue in next year's elections.
States of different political affiliations, whether red, blue, or purple, have approved comparable proposals, establishing a noticeable trend that challenges partisan assumptions and could significantly impact the upcoming federal elections next year.
However, Ohio Republicans may have faced less difficulty in the end. The timing of their referendum, occurring during an off-year with no elections for state or presidential positions, worked to their advantage. Other Republican parties in different states may not be as fortunate.
Arizona activists are currently collecting signatures for a 2024 ballot initiative, similar to Ohio's this year. This development has already caused concern among Republicans in Arizona. Arizona Republican strategist, Barrett Marson, expressed his worry to CNN, stating that the results in Ohio should be alarming for every Republican in a state where an abortion question will be on the ballot in 2024. Marson emphasized that abortion initiatives are not only increasing voter turnout for Democrats but also forcing Republicans to address an issue that goes against the majority of the electorate.
A number of key toss-up states, such as Pennsylvania, Iowa, Florida, and Colorado, may feature ballot measures concerning abortion rights alongside the contenders for the presidency in the upcoming year.
Glenn Younkin and Virginia hit a wall
The Youngkin 2024 bandwagon suffered a setback on Tuesday as Virginia voters denied the governor and his party the legislative majorities they desired. Consequently, the proposed 15-week abortion ban, which Youngkin supported as a "reasonable" resolution to address the discontent of those opposing last year's Supreme Court decision on Roe v. Wade, will not be implemented.
Content It is highly probable that this also puts to rest the speculation that Youngkin, who has consistently stated that he has no intention of relocating beyond Virginia, will make a late entrance into the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The reasoning behind this notion relied on the governor's ability to form a coalition that encompasses the far-right, center-right, and the moderate swing voter - a strategy similar to what secured his victory in the 2021 gubernatorial race.
However, with CNN forecasting that Virginia Democrats will maintain control of the state Senate and capture the House of Delegates, it seems that Youngkin's influence has reached its limit.
Democrat Andy Beshear won reelection in Kentucky. But who lost?
Andy Beshear won a second term on Tuesday in a state that Trump carried by more than 25 points in 2020.
The actual battle commences now.
Although backed by Trump, Daniel Cameron, often referred to as McConnell's protege, facing defeat, will lead to extensive blame shifting within the Republican Party. Immediately after the polls closed, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie directed his blame towards the former president, labeling the outcome as "another loss for Trump."
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"The losing streak for Republicans can only be halted by distancing ourselves from Donald Trump," Christie tweeted, offering a preview of his message to primary voters on Wednesday night during the third GOP presidential debate. "Trump - the loser in 18, 20, 21, 22, and now 23."
Trump may have a contrasting opinion on the situation, but it seems likely that neither influential leader within the Republican Party had a direct impact on the Kentucky electorate. This electorate consistently commends Beshear for his efforts and seems to have been concerned about Cameron's stance on abortion.
Democrats big night â despite Bidens weak polling
Beshear criticized Cameron's endorsement of the existing stringent abortion law in Kentucky, which lacks provisions for rape or incest, during the previous year's ballot measure. The voters ultimately rejected the proposal, thus preserving constitutional safeguards for abortion.
The president's party achieved a string of significant victories on Tuesday night, with Democratic candidates and issues emerging victorious in important votes.
However, it has been a challenging week for Biden as he faced unfavorable results in multiple 2024 polls. According to a recent CNN poll of registered voters, Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley all outperformed the president, albeit marginally, in hypothetical matchups.
The battleground state surveys conducted by The New York Times and Siena College over the weekend portrayed a similarly gloomy picture. However, for a fleeting moment, the Biden campaign found cause for celebration.
After winning in Kentucky and with Ohio including abortion rights in its state constitution, President Biden's campaign manager, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, sent a statement to reporters and an email to supporters celebrating the outcome. She highlighted how, in numerous elections following the Supreme Court's conservative appointments under Donald Trump, Americans have consistently shown support for President Biden and the Democratic party's vision for the nation. Rodriguez also criticized the Republican Party for being defined by the dangerous extremism of MAGA at all levels.
History-making wins in Rhode Island and Philadelphia
However, it is important to note that direct votes on contentious issues do not necessarily reflect a candidate's overall performance, regardless of whether they align with public sentiment. Nevertheless, for a president who has faced challenging weeks, the outcome of another election where abortion rights prevail across party lines is undeniably positive news.
After Tuesday night's results are all in, the composition of the government will showcase a closer resemblance to the governed.
Beginning with the Rhode Island's special congressional election, Democrat Gabe Amo secures the projected victory. Remarkably, he will become the state's first Black representative in Congress.
Gabe, the first Black man to represent Rhode Island in Congress, is a recognized and committed leader. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee stated that he will play a significant role in the Democratic Caucus and the House of Representatives.
Meanwhile, Cherelle Parker, a former city councilmember in Philadelphia, is set to make history as the first woman to lead the City of Brotherly Love.
Shell be the citys fourth Black mayor - and the 100th in its long history.