How did we get on last weekend?
Longshots to Attack This WeekendInspiration can strike in unexpected locations. To ensure a day filled with entertainment for my three-year-old son, we embarked on a trip to watch Rally Road Racers at the cinema.
"Winners continue to succeed, even in times of defeat," stated a character, attempting to motivate the young Zhi. This occurred as Zhi engaged in a bet (as expected, gambling was involved) against Vainglorious, the esteemed reigning champion of the rally car circuit.
This mantra proves invaluable when evaluating the merit of a particular bet, regardless of its ultimate outcome. Did the odds work in your favor? How narrow were the margins of possibility? Would you take the same risk again at that price?
When I was analyzing my bets on Newcastle last weekend, I had hoped for them to secure seven or more corners against Sheffield United, with an even payoff. Surprisingly, despite their dominance, Newcastle scored eight goals but only managed to win six corners.
As a result, my treble bet at odds of 13/2 did not succeed. However, there was still reason to celebrate as Manchester United won with an unattractive style of play. This meant that I earned eight points in profit by placing a double stake on the 4/1 odds for a United win and under 2.5 goals.
After failing to land two shots on target against Arsenal, James Maddison managed to make up for it by providing two assists. As a result, we ended the weekend with a profitable gain of +6. Although our overall season profit and loss may still be in the red, our decision making ability remains strong. It's a peculiar feeling of winning despite technically losing.
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Bruno Fernandes' goal landed Jones Knows +8 worth of profit
Time to turn that into some actual winning, then.
P+L = -2
1pt on Bournemouth to win & under 2.5 goals vs Arsenal (12/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
I really like the unders and Bournemouth angle on Saturday at a big price.Despite his slow start in England, Andoni Iraola's record with Rayo Vallecano against Spain's top three teams can be seen as a strong argument. His defensive tactics effectively neutralize strong attacks, as demonstrated during the 45 minutes against Brighton last weekend. This impressive display made me believe that the manager is successfully implementing his strategies with Bournemouth, despite their lack of wins. In the 13 matches against Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Atletico Madrid, Iraola's Vallecano side never lost by more than one goal. These games are typically low-scoring, averaging just 2.2 goals per 90 minutes. Additionally, 12 out of these 13 fixtures saw less than 3.5 goals, a remarkable accomplishment given the team's limited resources compared to the top teams. If Bournemouth is effectively executing Iraola's ideas, they have the potential to make the match against Arsenal very challenging. Considering the odds, it might be worth betting on Bournemouth to win with under 2.5 goals at 12/1.
1pt on Tomas Soucek to score a header vs Sheffield United (14/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Despite a decline in Tomas Soucek's powers during open play, David Moyes still considers him an automatic starter as long as he's fit. However, this belief may hinder the Hammers' performance this season. Soucek's extensive playing time under Moyes, with 121 starts, is primarily due to his strong presence and ability to create chances through direct play.During his last 11 Premier League games, Soucek has failed to score a goal. Nonetheless, he has taken 17 shots at goal, resulting in an expected goal value of 1.91 - an impressive statistic. Notably, nine of his attempts were headers, including one that forced an exceptional save from Alisson in the defeat against Liverpool. Consequently, considering the limited opposition, the odds offered by Sky Bet for Soucek to score with a header appear to be quite generous. In addition, he recently scored against Lincoln and Bačka Topolaso, further supporting my confidence in him finding the net again, especially if the goal is scored with a header.
1pt on Aaron Hickey to score first vs Nottingham Forest (50/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
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Nottingham Forest vs Brentford, live on We
Aaron Hickey has become a key player in Brentford's lineup, featuring in the starting XI for the past 11 Premier League matches. Under the guidance of Thomas Frank, he is progressing as expected. Additionally, his offensive contributions from the full-back position have noticeably increased. In his last five games, he has taken seven shots at goal, one of which was a challenging attempt from a tight angle against Nick Pope during the 1-0 loss to Newcastle. Despite never scoring for the Bees, it seems likely that a goal is imminent, especially with the odds of 50/1 being too enticing to dismiss this weekend.