India's rapid economic growth continues to impress, with the country being recognized as the world's fastest-growing major economy. According to the country's statistics office, India's gross domestic product saw a significant surge of 8.4% in the last quarter of 2023 compared to the same period the previous year. This growth rate surpassed the 7.6% growth recorded in the June-to-September period.
The latest surge in India's economy has exceeded analysts' expectations, signaling a strong finish to the previous year, according to Thamashi De Silva, assistant India economist at Capital Economics.
De Silva remarked that the growth rate was the highest among major economies in the last quarter and highlighted that the GDP grew by 7.7% in 2023 as a whole. She also pointed out that recent business activity data indicates a promising start for the economy in 2024.
The International Monetary Fund predicts that India's economy will grow by 6.5% in 2024, surpassing China's expected growth rate of 4.6%. China is facing various challenges such as a real estate crisis, high youth unemployment, and pessimistic consumers, which have led to a slowdown in its economic growth. China's leaders are anticipated to announce their growth target for 2024 in the upcoming week. This positive data will further enhance the optimism surrounding the economic future of the world's most populous nation, India.
India is poised for a significant climb in the rankings of the world's largest economies, with analysts at Jefferies predicting that it will become the third-largest economy by 2027, up from its current position of fifth.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi waves at a public rally at the Moulana Azad Stadium during which he inaugurated several projects in Jammu and Kashmir, in Jammu, India, Tuesday, Feb. 20, 2024.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi inaugurated several projects in Jammu and Kashmir during a public rally at the Moulana Azad Stadium in Jammu, India on Tuesday, Feb. 20, 2024.
Channi Anand/AP
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‘India has arrived.’ Why Modi’s economy offers a real alternative to China
India is increasingly being considered as a viable option for countries and companies seeking to diversify their supply chains away from China, especially amid escalating tensions between the United States and China.
Under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the Indian government has been making efforts to attract major corporations to establish manufacturing facilities in the country. This initiative is supported by substantial investments in infrastructure development, including the enhancement of roads, ports, airports, and railways.
Some of the world’s largest companies, such as Apple supplier Foxconn, are already increasing their presence in India. Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk expressed last June that his company is eager to invest in India at the earliest opportunity.
Musk mentioned to reporters, "He (Modi) really cares about India because he’s pushing us to make significant investments in India, which is something we intend to do."
De Silva at Capital Economics mentioned that the momentum driving India's robust economic growth could slightly diminish due to weak global growth affecting exports and stricter regulations on unsecured lending impacting household spending. However, she also stated that any slowdown in growth is expected to be mild, especially with the government's infrastructure initiatives likely to support economic activity.
Editor's P/S:
I am filled with optimism and excitement as I read about India's remarkable economic growth. The country's rapid ascent as the world's fastest-growing major economy is a testament to its resilience and the transformative policies implemented by its leadership. The recent surge in GDP and the positive forecasts for 2024 paint a bright picture for India's economic future. It is inspiring to see how India is emerging as a global powerhouse, attracting investments and becoming a viable alternative to China for many businesses.
While the article acknowledges potential challenges, it also emphasizes the government's commitment to infrastructure development and its efforts to mitigate risks. The article highlights the potential for India to climb the ranks of the world's largest economies, which is a truly remarkable achievement. I believe that India's economic success will not only benefit its own citizens but also contribute to global economic growth and stability.