How did we get on last weekend?
If you are new to following our tipster, Jones Knows, or if you have only just started to dip your toe into our tips this season, you may have already noticed that losing streaks are a common occurrence. We focus on selecting high-value options, even though it means the odds are generally in our favor. However, finding those winning selections can be a challenging task that may only happen once, twice, or a few times throughout the season. We must expect some disappointing outcomes along the way and moments where we question how we couldn't capitalize on such a promising opportunity.We added three more points to the bookmakers' satchels last weekend, giving us a positive feeling that we were not too far away. The 4/1 double (2pts) on BTTS, Over 2.5 goals in the Wolves vs Brighton game seemed promising for a full return, but unfortunately, Ben Chilwell scuffed both of his attempts at goal for Chelsea, where we needed him to make a shot on target. To add to the disappointment, he was substituted on the 60th minute, which was unexpected considering Mauricio Pochettino had made him captain and has shown appreciation for his width and creativity. Chilwell's failure also resulted in our 20/1 first goalscorer investment yielding no return.
However, a win or two is within reach. I can sense it.
P+L = -6
1pt on Cristian Romero to score vs Bournemouth (16/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
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Tottenham's Cristian Romero celebrates with team-mates after scoring the opening goal
Bournemouth boss Andoni Iraola seems to have ignored the glaring issue with their defensive set pieces from last season. They had the highest number of goals conceded from set pieces, excluding penalties, totaling to 21 goals. It is evident that they urgently need assistance in this area. Unfortunately, the initial outcomes under Iraola's guidance are not encouraging.
Furthermore, during Iraola's tenure as the manager of Rayo Vallecano, his team also allowed 23 goals from corners and free-kicks in the past two seasons. This once again indicates that defensive set pieces do not receive much attention or organization from him, as his team holds the worst record in this aspect. Liverpool took advantage of this weakness on Saturday.
Virgil van Dijk struck the post and missed two other attempts, while Ibrahim Konate also had an unsuccessful shot on goal. With Bournemouth having conceded the highest expected goals from set piece situations in the Premier League this season, there is an opportunity to capitalize on this vulnerability. Cristian Romero, who has already scored a goal this season and consistently takes shots at goal, is a strong option. Considering Bournemouth's weakness in defending set pieces, Romero's odds in various markets, such as the Evens with Sky Bet for him to have one or more shots, and the 16/1 for him to score anytime, are favorable for the Jones Knows treble.
1pt on Matheus Cunha to score in a Wolves win at Everton (7/1 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Wolves, despite their lack of points and goals, have displayed promising performances according to key data. In their two matches, they have accumulated an impressive 4.48 expected goals, the fourth highest among all teams.Matheus Cunha has been instrumental in contributing 1.02 of this significant figure. Displaying his destructive form at the forefront of the Wolves' attack, he has made 18 penetrative runs into the opposition box, the fourth most in the league. Additionally, he has recorded four progressive carries leading to chances created, a feat only surpassed by Phil Foden. Considering his impressive performance, it would come as no surprise if Cunha greatly influences the outcome when they face Everton. He is capable of scoring in an away victory.
1pt on Erling Haaland to score a header vs Sheffield United (11/2 with Sky Bet - Bet Here!)
Two matches have been played, and in both of them, three different centre forwards managed to score against Sheffield United. What's interesting is that all of these goals were scored from crosses into the box. Now, Erling Haaland is about to enter the field, and the odds of him scoring are as low as 2/5 with Sky Bet. Moreover, there's a chance he could secure his seventh hat-trick for Manchester City, with odds of just 7/1. However, there's a more strategic approach that involves a higher price to support Haaland in this particular game.Of Haaland's 36 goals in the Premier League last season, he scored seven of them through headers. His ability to finish in the air is remarkable, which is not surprising given his height of over six feet and the exceptional quality of service he receives from some of the world's top players.
Nowadays, Man City no longer rely solely on their exquisite passing game to create goals. They have adopted a more direct approach, particularly when it comes to delivering the ball into the box. It's an obvious choice when you have a dominant presence like Haaland in the center.
Haaland is 11/2 to score a header. Use your head. Back it.