US Urged to Increase Support for Ukraine to Avoid Potential Loss in Conflict with Russia

CIA Director Bill Burns cautioned that if the US does not provide more military assistance, Ukraine could risk losing the war against Russia by the end of the year. This is one of the strongest warnings given by the Biden administration regarding the situation in Ukraine as Congress discusses the approval of a delayed aid package for Kyiv.

Just a month ago, Burns had cautioned the Senate Intelligence Committee that without additional support authorized by Congress, Ukraine could lose significant ground in 2024 due to conservative opposition in the House of Representatives.

During an event at the George W. Bush Center on Thursday, Burns expressed concern that Ukraine might be compelled to surrender completely.

"With the support of military assistance, both in practical terms and mentally, I believe the Ukrainians can defend themselves effectively until 2024," stated Burns.

However, he added, "Without extra help, the situation becomes much more serious. There is a significant possibility that the Ukrainians could face defeat on the battlefield by the end of 2024, or potentially allow Putin to control the terms of a political agreement."

The Biden administration is currently facing a warning as they aim to take advantage of a political opportunity on Capitol Hill to urge the House to pass a long-delayed aid package. This package also includes aid for Israel, putting pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson to move the package forward following the recent Iranian attack on Israel. To appease conflicting factions within the GOP, the legislation has been divided into separate bills, with the Ukraine aid portion set for a vote on Saturday night.

During a briefing on Thursday, Burns did not elaborate on what he meant by "lose." A source familiar with Western intelligence mentioned to CNN that even if the package does not pass, officials still believe that Russia is unlikely to completely take over Ukraine.

Russia might be able to reclaim more land and halt the fighting in a de facto ceasefire, similar to what occurred after the annexation of Crimea in 2014. However, this would still be considered a setback.

Burns highlighted the critical shortage of basic ammunition that Ukraine is experiencing during combat. He mentioned two battalions, each consisting of over 2,000 soldiers, having only 15 artillery rounds and 42 mortar rounds per day, respectively.

"They were overwhelmed, not because they lacked bravery or determination. My concern is that without additional assistance, we may witness more situations like Avdiivka in the future," Burns expressed, mentioning a Ukrainian city recently taken over by Russian forces.

CNN has previously reported that Ukraine is facing a critical shortage of ammunition and military equipment due to the challenges the US and its allies are encountering in providing necessary supplies to the country's military. This shortage is having a severe impact on the battlefield.

Editor's P/S:

The situation in Ukraine remains precarious, as CIA Director Bill Burns warns of potential defeat by the end of the year without additional military assistance. This dire assessment underscores the urgency for the US to provide timely aid, as the outcome of the conflict hinges on the support Ukraine receives. The looming threat of a Russian takeover or a political agreement on Putin's terms raises concerns about Ukraine's sovereignty and the stability of the region.

Burns' emphasis on Ukraine's critical ammunition shortage highlights the challenges faced by the US and its allies in supplying the necessary resources. The lack of basic artillery and mortar rounds has left Ukrainian battalions vulnerable, contributing to the recent loss of Avdiivka. The US must prioritize the timely delivery of military equipment and ammunition to ensure Ukraine's ability to defend itself against Russia's relentless aggression. By providing the necessary support, the US can not only prevent Ukraine's defeat but also contribute to a more favorable outcome in the ongoing conflict.