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Is this deja vu or something new?
The government spending battle remains unchanged in November, mirroring the situation in October. A looming deadline adds urgency, as funding is set to expire on Friday, November 17, and lawmakers lack a clear strategy to pass a temporary government funding bill.
The House speaker is proposing a temporary solution without requiring spending cuts in this specific interim legislation.
Republicans are once again divided as a faction of right-wing Republicans disagrees with the approach taken by their leaders.
Democrats will be crucial in forming a majority as their votes, along with those of Republicans, will be necessary to prevent a partial government shutdown. However, unlike the circumstances that led to former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy losing his position just over a month ago, there are notable distinctions that suggest Mike Johnson, McCarthy's successor, may be able to navigate the situation with less turmoil and potentially avert a partial government shutdown, at least for the time being.
Johnson, rather than McCarthy, is the one conducting the negotiations. Although Johnson is not widely recognized beyond Capitol Hill, he seems to possess sufficient credibility among the conservative faction of the party. Lawmakers who oppose excessive spending are openly criticizing his strategy but are not currently posing a threat to his position.
Another significant aspect is that Johnson has introduced a novel idea referred to as the "laddered approach."
Washington, DC - October 25, 2023: U.S. Capitol Police are seen guarding the East Front during sunrise. On October 25, House Republicans voted to appoint Rep. Michael Johnson (R-LA) as their new candidate for Speaker of the House, thereby replacing former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). McCarthy was removed from office on October 4 by a group of conservative members from his own party.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
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Instead of proposing a single bill to cover all government funding, he proposes a more comprehensive approach. This approach would provide funding for certain government sectors such as military construction, Veterans Affairs, transportation, housing, and the Energy Department until January 19, while the remaining government sectors would receive funding until February 2. However, the request from the White House for additional military support for Israel and Ukraine is not mentioned or addressed.
"The bill aims to put an end to the impractical practice of introducing large, heavily-funded spending bills just before the Christmas recess during the holiday season," stated Johnson on Saturday. In addition, he asserted that the delay would enhance the Republicans' ability to advocate for spending cuts in the upcoming year. The White House initially criticized this approach as it would prevent the usual rush to pass a government funding bill at the end of the year, potentially leading to a prolonged spending battle in early 2022.
But speaking to reporters in the Oval Office on Monday, President Joe Biden was noncommittal.
"Well see what happens," Biden said, noting that negotiations were happening on Capitol Hill.
"I won't judge what I would veto or what I would sign," stated Biden. "Let's wait and see what they propose."
According to CNN’s Manu Raju, Senate Democrats have also been hesitant, but they appear to be more receptive to Johnson's approach, possibly admiring the fact that it does not entail the desired spending cuts by Republicans.
Choose the phrase you want to qualify your optimism regarding the present progress. The intricacies lie within the details, which we are still acquiring knowledge of. The passage of time will provide clarity, and time is limited.
On Tuesday, a procedural vote will ascertain the number of Democrats Johnson will require to successfully pass his version of the bill. CNN has reported that there are currently eight House Republicans who oppose Johnson's gradual approach, and he can only afford to lose four of them. If Johnson decides to pass the bill without relying solely on Republicans, it would necessitate a significant number of Democrats disregarding House rules.
Despite this, the notion of legislators avoiding a last-minute spending conflict is unfamiliar, although Democrats find the idea of prolonging the spending standoff in the coming year unpalatable.